| Self-organised ecogeomorphic systems: confronting models with data for land-degradation in drylands
07-10 June 2010, Potsdam, Germany |
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Scientific report of the workshop
Executive summary: Land degradation is a global problem and the areal extent of degraded land is likely to increase in the future due to population pressure and the adverse effects of changes in the climatic regimes of dryland regions. Desertification and land degradation pinpoint a fundamental paradox of dryland ecosystems. On the one hand, dryland plants are, individually, adapted to be resilient. On the other, dryland ecosystems are subject to catastrophic changes. One of the focal discussion point of the workshop was how individually resilient plants succumb to stress in sufficient numbers to cause ecosystem-wide sudden and catastrophic change - as a function of both biotic and abiotic processes and their feedback interactions. Over the last decade, there was a tendency to study land degradation as a public policy issue focusing on regulations in regard to land-use, land abandonment and effects of subsidies. However, as land pressure increases, and potential effects of climate change potentially change inherent ecosystem functioning, it becomes fundamental for a stustainable future land management to study land degradation in a much more science-based, interdisciplinary manner including potential feedback mechanics between ecological and geomorphological processes. The difficulty of understanding these vegetation-environment interactions requires major changes to the ways in which dryland environments are investigated. The workshop evaluated approaches based on complexity theory and advanced self-organized models for such investigations, and deals with the difficult issue of how to use existing data to test these approaches, as well as to identify the need for new datasets. During the workshop, the availability, need and short-coming of recently developed ecogeomorphic models were discussed. It was agreed that ecogeomorphic models are required to understand the patchiness of vegetation and resource islands typical for dryland settings and that advanced methods need to be developed for analysis of complex spatio-temporal patterns in ecogeomorphic systems, both produced by self-organizing models and apparent within environmental data sets. If a model of desertification and land degradation is to have practical application, it must be both quantitative (so that measurable impacts of environmental change can be identified), grounded in knowledge of the propagation and resource requirements of particular species (so that it may be applied at particular localities) and include a quantitative understanding of ecogeomorphological interactions (so that feedbacks can be included within the model). No existing model meets these requirements. Main outcome of the workshop is the set-up of a communication basis to produce a keystone manual that is supposed to provide the basis of future interdisciplinary research on ecogeomorphic systems and will allow advancing analysis methods for complex spatio-temporal patterns in ecogeomorphic systems, both produced by self-organizing models and within environmental data sets. Scientific content of the workshop: The first day of the workshop was reserved to lectures and seminars that would introduce current fronties in the three disciplines, i.e. current advances in land degradation and the study of ecogeomorphic systems from the perspective of geomorphologists and ecologists and the advances in self-organisation modelling. The seminars identified the different approaches of modellers and field experts (approximately 50 % of the participants in each group) to quantify and understand land degradation. To enable a coherent approach for the group's scientific perspective on land degradation, a mind map was created that summarised and categorised the scientific understanding of the term. The compiled definitions of the term were as diverse as the composition of experties amongst the participants; the following keyword definitions give an overview: 'Land degradation describes':
The diversity of perspectives on the analysis of land degradation and the discussed methods for data analysis, self-organisation and model formulation during the first workshop day clearly showed the current discrepancies in the study of drylands. Ecogeomorphic system analysis for land degradation studies was identified as a new science field which requires substantial development in the analysis methods of complex vegetation and resource patterns, an interdisciplinary approach for data compilation and an integrated modelling perspective to study degradation processes and patterns and links between them. The second day of the workshop was filled with seminars and workshops on integrated modelling and the analysis of pattern formations of dryland ecosystems. The need, scientific rationale and requirements for ecogeomorphic models were identified for a widely-spreat scope varing between:
The group identified that currently no modelling framework exists that would be able to address any of the listed application areas. One of the key challenges for the three disciplines has thus been defined and postulated: the development of partly and/or fully integrated models that couple vegetation dynamics and pattern formation procedures with process-based hydrological transport models at spatial scales relevant for land management. To enable the development of ecogeomorphic models, the following research fields were identified for future research collaborations within the group:
It was also established that without including the expertise and methods of the other disciplines, neither ecologists nor geomorphologists will be able to understand and control catastrophic feedback loops that lead to desertification. The workshop ended with a concordant agreement that more interactive discussions between the three disciplines are necessary before it is possible to proceed with the preparation of joint research applications. Assessment of the results and future directions: To fill the apparent gap between the disciplines, it was decided to publish a keystone manual that provides a basis of future interdisciplinary research on ecogeomorphic systems. We have signed a publication contract with Springer, Utrecht for a book publication with the title: "Pattern of land-degradation in drylands - Understanding self-organised ecogeomorphic systems". The aim of the keystone manual is to advance methods for analysis of complex spatio-temporal patterns in ecogeomorphic systems, both produced by self-organizing models and apparent within environmental data sets. The content will be based on the current research of the participants and their individual contribution to the workshop sessions.
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