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Workpackage I: Indentification of transient states of hazard and risk

  • Can we identify whether a hazard-prone geo- or hydro-system, including any human-technical components, is in a state of transition?
  • What are the data requirements for a reliable detection of such behaviour?
  • How certain can we distinguish between stochastic variability and structured / systematic changes? What is the null hypothesis?
http://www.uni-potsdam.de/natriskchange/index/projects/project-i1-natural-hazards-in-a-changing-climate-what-causes-the-variability.html

Project I1: Natural hazards in a changing climate – What causes the variability?

Thomas Moran, FU Berlin

http://www.uni-potsdam.de/natriskchange/index/projects/project-i2-study-of-transient-periods-in-natural-and-in-induced-seismicity.html

Project I2: Study of transient periods in natural and in induced seismicity

Bernhard Fiedler, Universität Potsdam

http://www.uni-potsdam.de/natriskchange/index/projects/project-i3-towards-non-ergodic-time-dependent-ground-motion-models.html

Project I3: Towards non-ergodic, time dependent, ground-motion models

Sebastian Specht, Universität Potsdam

http://www.uni-potsdam.de/natriskchange/index/projects/project-i4-changing-risk-from-glacial-lake-outburst-floods.html

Project I4: Changing Risk from Glacial Lake Outburst Floods

Georg Veh, Universität Potsdam

Project I5: Changes in European windstorm characteristics

Project I5: Changes in European windstorm characteristics

Christian Passow, FU Berlin

Project I6: Detecting time-depending forcing of seismicity

Project I6: Detecting time-depending forcing of seismicity

Shubham Sharma, Universität Potsdam

Project I7: Time dependent monitoring of active faults and landslides properties: developing new data processing approaches based on music information retrieval (MIR) strategies

Project I7: Time dependent monitoring of active faults and landslides properties

Reza Dokht Dolatabadi Esfahani, GFZ Potsdam

Project I8: Learning landslide triggers from complex networks

Project I8: Learning landslide triggers from inventory data

Lisa Luna, Universität Potsdam

Project I9: Analysis of concurrent climate extremes driving land degradation and recovery in the Mediterranean regions

Project I9: Analysis of concurrent climate extremes driving land degradation and recovery

Johannes Vogel, TU Berlin

Project I10: Point process modelling of induced seismicity

Projekt I10: Point process modelling of induced seismicity

GFZ Potsdam & University of Potsdam

Project I11: Propagation of subglacial floods

Project I11: Discrimination of Subglacial Flood Types based on seismological and remote sensing data

University of Potsdam & GFZ Potsdam

Project I12: Spatiotemporal signature of extreme rainfall under climate change

Project I12:The spatiotemporal signature of extreme rainfall under climate change

University of Potsdam & FU Berlin

Project I13: Multiple flood experience and social resilience

Project I13: Multiple flood experience and social resilience

UFZ Leipzig & University of Potsdam