Ongoing projects:

Strong roots, strong women (2021-2023)

Evaluating Germany's Climate Mitigation and Adaptation Practice (Eval-MAP 2), WP Adaptation to flood risks. (BMBF, Laufzeit 12/2018-11/2021).

Understanding the dynamics of human behaviour towards flooding using panel data, in-house project.

Completed projects:

Ecology and Gender Based Flood Resilience Building in Thua Thien Hue,Central Vietnam (ResilNam - coastal) (Global Resilience Partnership, Water Window, Laufzeit: 02/2017 bis 07/2018)

The project aims to enhance flood resilience in coastal communities by strengthening the role of women in disaster risk management and climate change adaptation through ecosystem-based adaptation, including the restoration, conservation and sustainable management of mangroves in Southeast Asia’s largest lagoon.

>>>>>>> Animation über das Projekt

Ecology and Gender Based Flood Resilience Building in Thua Thien Hue,Central Vietnam (ResilNam - urban)
(Global Resilience Partnership, Water Window, Laufzeit: 02/2017 bis 07/2018)

To enhance the flood resilience of urban communities, the project will work towards the restoration, conservation and sustainable management of natural retention and drainage areas in Hue City, central Vietnam. These bottom-up nature-based solutions will provide a means to strengthen the role of women in disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation. Together with local and regional authorities and stakeholders from civil society, the project seeks to overcome existing gender differences that make women especially vulnerable to the negative impacts of floods.

>>>>>>> Documentary about the project

Behördenkooperation Klimawandelanpassung
(durchgeführt von der up transfer GmbH im Auftrag des Umweltbundesamtes; Laufzeit: 11/2015 bis 10/2018)

Vorsorge gegen Starkregenereignisse und Maßnahmen zur wassersensiblen Stadtentwicklung
(durchgeführt von der up transfer GmbH im Auftrag des Umweltbundesamtes (FKZ 3716482020); Laufzeit: 01/2017 bis 02/2018)

ENHANCE – Enhancing risk management partnerships for catastrophic natural disasters in Europe
(EU 7. Forschungsrahmenprogramm; Laufzeit: 12/2012 bis 11/2016)

Im Verbundprojekt ENHANCE untersucht die Arbeitsgruppe zusammen mit der österreichischen Firma ORT und den Österreichischen Bundesbahnen (ÖBB) beispielhaft, wie Eisenbahninfrastrukturen durch Naturgefahren geschädigt und wie Strategien zum Naturgefahrenmanagement gestärkt werden können. Im Projekt wird insbesondere die Rolle von Multi-Sektoralen Partnerschaften (MSP) beim Management von Naturgefahren betrachtet.

Reviewer für:

• Climatic Change
• Risk Analysis
• Ecological Economics
• Nature Climate Change
• Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
• International Journal for Disaster Risk Reduction
• Environmental Science and Policy
• Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management 

Peer-reviewed (ISI) articles:

Google scholar

Bubeck, P., Osberghaus, D., Thieken, A.H. (2023): Explaining Changes in Threat Appraisal, Coping Appraisal, and Flood Risk-Reducing Behavior Using Panel Data From a Nation-Wide Survey in Germany. Environment and Behavior, online first.

Han, S., Bubeck, P., Thieken, A.H., & Kuhlicke, C. (2023). A place‐based risk appraisal model for exploring residents’ attitudes toward nature‐based solutions to flood risks. Risk Analysis, online first.

Thieken, A. H., Bubeck, P., Heidenreich, A., von Keyserlingk, J., Dillenardt, L., & Otto, A. (2023). Performance of the flood warning system in Germany in July 2021–insights from affected residents. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23(2), 973-990.

Hudson, P., Bubeck, P., & Thieken, A. H. (2023). A comparison of flood-protective decision-making between German households and businesses. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 27(1), 1-22.

Duijndam, S. J., Botzen, W. W., Hagedoorn, L. C., Bubeck, P., Haer, T., Pham, M., & Aerts, J. C. (2023). Drivers of migration intentions in coastal Vietnam under increased flood risk from sea level rise. Climatic Change, 176(2), 12.

Hagedoorn, L. C., Bubeck, P., Hudson, P., Brander, L. M., Pham, M., & Lasage, R. (2021). Preferences of vulnerable social groups for ecosystem-based adaptation to flood risk in Central Vietnam. World Development, 148, 105650.

Zebisch, M., Schneiderbauer, S., Fritzsche, K., Bubeck, P., Kienberger, S., Kahlenborn, W., Schwan, S., Below, T. (2021). The Vulnerability Sourcebook and climate impact chains - a standardized framework for a climate vulnerability and risk assessment. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 13(1), 35-59. 

Hudson, P., Pham, M., Hagedoorn, L., Thieken, A., Lasage, R., & Bubeck, P.(2021). Self‐stated recovery from flooding: Empirical results from a survey in Central Vietnam. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 14(1), e12680.

Bubeck, P., Berghäuser, L., Hudson, P., & Thieken, A. H. (2020). Using panel data to understand the dynamics of human behavior in response to flooding. Risk Analysis, 40(11), 2340-2359.

Hudson, P., Liselotte, H., & Bubeck, P. (2020). Potential linkages between social capital, flood risk perceptions, and self-efficacy. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 11(3), 251-262.

Kuhlicke, C., Seebauer, S., Hudson, P., Begg, C., Bubeck, P., Dittmer, C., ... & Bamberg, S. (2020). The behavioral turn in flood risk management, its assumptions and potential implications. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 7(3), e1418.

Wolf, S., Pham, M., Matthews, N., Bubeck, P. (2020). Understanding the implementation gap. Policy-makers' perceptions of ecosystem-based adaptation in central Vietnam. Climate and Development. DOI: 10.1080/17565529.2020.1724068. FREE COPIES

Bubeck, P., Dillenardt, L., Alfieri, L., Feyen, L., Thieken, A.H., Kellermann, P. (2019). Global warming to increase flood risk on European railways. Climatic Change 155(1): 19-36. 

Hudson, P., Thieken, A.H., Bubeck, P. (2019). The challenges of longitudinal surveys in the flood risk domain. Journal of Risk Research. Online First.

Riese, M., Thieken, A.H., Müggenburg, E., Bubeck, P. (2019). Synergien und Hemmnisse einer möglichen Integration von Starkregen in die Bearbeitung der europäischen Hochwasserrisikomanagementrichtlinie. Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung 63(4), 193-202. 

Hudson, P., Pham, M., Bubeck, P. (2019). An evaluation and monetary assessment of the impact of flooding on subjective well-being across genders in Vietnam. Climate and Development 11(7), 623-637.

Otto, A., P. Kellermann, A.H. Thieken, M. Mañez Costa, M. Carmona, Bubeck, P. (2019): Risk reduction partnerships for assessing and enhancing resilience of railway transport infrastructure in an alpine environment. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 33, 385-397.

Di Baldassarre, G., Kreibich, H., Vorogushyn, S., Aerts, J., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Barendrecht, M., Bates, P., Borga, M., Botzen, W., Bubeck, P., De Marchi, B., Llasat, C., Mazzoleni, M., Molinari, D., Mondino, E., Mård, J., Petrucci, O., Scolobig, A., Viglione, A., and Ward, P. J. (2018): Hess Opinions: An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 5629-5637. https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/22/5629/2018/.

Bubeck, P., Botzen, W.J.W., Laudan, Aerts, J.C.J.H. Thieken, A.H. (2018): Insights into flood-coping appraisals of Protection Motivation Theory: Empirical evidence from Germany and France. Risk Analysis, Volume 38(6), 1239-1257. DOI:10.1111/risa.12938. 

Bubeck, P., Thieken, A.H. (2018): What helps people recover from floods? Insights from a survey among flood-affected residents in Germany. Regional Environmental Change 18(1): 287-296. DOI 10.1007/s10113-017-1200-y.

Kreibich, H., Di Baldassarre, G., Vorogushyn, S., Aerts, J.C.J.H., Apel, H., Aronica, G.T., Aenbjerg-Nielsen, K., Bouwer, L.M., Bubeck, P., Caloiero, T., Chinh, D.T., Cortés, M., Gain, A.K., Giampá, V., Kuhlicke, C., Kundzewicz, Z.W., Llasat, M.C., Mard, J., Matczak, P., Mazzoleni, M., Molinari, D., Dung, N.V., Petrucci, O., Schröter, K., Slager, K., Thieken, A.H., Ward, P.J., Merz, B. (2017): Adaptation to flood risk – results of international paired flood event studies. Earth’s Future 5: 953-965. DOI: 10.1002/2017EF000606.

Bubeck, P., Otto, A., Weichselgartner, J. (2017): Societal Impacts of Flood Hazards. In: Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science. DOI: 10.1093/acrefore/9780199389407.013.281.

Rözer, V., Müller, M., Bubeck, P., Kienzler, S., Thieken, A., Pech, I., Schröter, K., Buchholz, O., Kreibich, H. (2016): Coping with Pluvial Floods by Private Households. Water 2016, 8, 304.

Bubeck, P., Aerts, J. C. J. H., de Moel, H., and Kreibich, H. (2016): Preface: Flood-risk analysis and integrated management. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 16: 1005-1010, doi:10.5194/nhess-16-1005-2016.

Kellermann, P., Bubeck, P., Kundela, G., Dosio, A., and Thieken, A.H. (2016): Frequency analysis of critical meteorological conditions in a changing climate – Assessing future implications for railway transportation in Austria. Climate, 4(2): 25; doi:10.3390/cli4020025.

Chinh, D.T., Bubeck, P., Dung, N.V., Kreibich, H. (2016): The 2011 flood event in the Mekong Delta: preparedness, response, damage and recovery of private households and small businesses. Disasters, online first 8. January 2016, DOI: 10.1111/disa.12171.

Bubeck, P., Kreibich, H., Penning-Rowsell, E., Botzen, W. J. W., de Moel, H., & Klijn, F. (2015). Explaining differences in flood management approaches in Europe and the USA – A comparative analysis. Journal of Flood Risk Management, n/a-n/a. doi: 10.1111/jfr3.12151.

Kreibich, H., Bubeck P., van Vliet, M., de Moel, H. (2015). A review of damage-reducing measures to manage fluvial flood risks in a changing climate. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 20(6), 967-989. doi: 10.1007/s11027-014-9629-5.

Hudson, P., Botzen, W. J. W., Kreibich, H., Bubeck, P., & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2014). Evaluating the effectiveness of flood damage mitigation measures by the application of propensity score matching. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 14(7), 1731-1747.doi:10.5194/nhess-14-1731-2014.

Kreibich, H., van den Bergh, J. C., Bouwer, L. M., Bubeck, P., Ciavola, P., Green, C., ... & Thieken, A. H. (2014). Costing natural hazards. Nature Climate Change, 4(5), 303-306. doi:10.1038/nclimate2182.

Kreibich, H., Bubeck, P., Kunz, M., Mahlke, H., Parolai, S., Khazai, B., ... & Schröter, K. (2014). A review of multiple natural hazards and risks in Germany. Natural Hazards, 74(3), 2279-2304. doi: 10.1007/s11069-014-1265-6.

Bubeck, P., & Botzen, W. J. (2013). Response to “The Necessity for Longitudinal Studies in Risk Perception Research”. Risk Analysis, 33(5), 760-762. doi: 10.1111/risa.12028.

Bubeck, P., Botzen, W. J. W., Kreibich, H., & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2013). Detailed insights into the influence of flood-coping appraisals on mitigation behaviour. Global Environmental Change, 23(5), 1327-1338. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.05.009.

Meyer, V., Becker, N., Markantonis, V., Schwarze, R., van den Bergh, J. C. J. M., Bouwer, L. M., Bubeck, P.,. . . Viavattene, C. (2013). Review article: Assessing the costs of natural hazards – state of the art and knowledge gaps. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 13(5), 1351-1373. doi:10.5194/nhess-13-1351-2013.

Bubeck, P., Botzen, W. J., & Aerts, J. C. (2012). A review of risk perceptions and other factors that influence flood mitigation behavior. Risk Analysis, 32(9), 1481-1495. Best Paper Award 2012.

Bubeck, P., Botzen, W. J. W., Suu, L. T. T., & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2012). Do flood risk perceptions provide useful insights for flood risk management? Findings from central Vietnam. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 5(4), 295-302. doi: 10.1111/j.1753-318X.2012.01151.x.

Bubeck, P., Botzen, W. J. W., Kreibich, H., & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2012). Long-term development and effectiveness of private flood mitigation measures: an analysis for the German part of the river Rhine. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 12(11), 3507-3518. doi:10.5194/nhess-12-3507-2012.

Poussin, J. K., Bubeck, P., Aerts, J. C. J. H., & Ward, P. J. (2012). Potential of semi-structural and non-structural adaptation strategies to reduce future flood risk: case study for the Meuse. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 12(11), 3455-3471. doi:10.5194/nhess-12-3455-2012.

Bubeck, P., Moel, H. D., Bouwer, L. M., & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2011). How reliable are projections of future flood damage?. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 11(12), 3293-3306. doi:10.5194/nhess-11-3293-2011.

Te Linde, A. H., Bubeck, P., Dekkers, J. E. C., De Moel, H., & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2011). Future flood risk estimates along the river Rhine. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 11, 459-473. doi:10.5194/nhess-11-459-2011.

Bouwer, L. M., Bubeck, P., & Aerts, J. C. (2010). Changes in future flood risk due to climate and development in a Dutch polder area. Global Environmental Change, 20(3), 463-471. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.04.002.

Bouwer, L. M., Bubeck, P., Wagtendonk, A. J., & Aerts, J. C. (2009). Inundation scenarios for flood damage evaluation in polder areas. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 9(6), 1995-2007. doi:10.5194/nhess-9-1995-2009.

Buchkapitel

Poussin, J. K., Ward, P. J., Bubeck, P., Gaslikova, L., Schwerzmann, A., & Raible, C. C. (2013). Flood risk modelling. In: Aerts, J., Botzen, W., Bowman, M., Ward, P., Dircke, P (eds). Climate Adaptation and Flood Risk in Coastal Cities, 93-121: Earthscan.

Meyer, V., Schwarze, R., Becker, N., Markantonis, V., Bergh, J. C. J. M. v. d., Bouwer, L. M., Bubeck, P., . . . Viavattene, C. (2014). Assessing the Costs of Natural Hazards – State of the Art and the Way Forward. In: Quevauviller, P. (ed).  Hydrometeorological Hazards: Interfacing Science and Policy, 253-290: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Bubeck, P., and Phi, H.L. (2012). Ho Chi Minh City. In: Dircke, P., Aerts, J.,  Molenaar, A. (eds). Connecting Delta Cities – Sharing Knowledge and Working on Adaptation to Climate Change. 127-137. Rotterdam. (PDF-Datei).

Weitere Veröffentlichungen

Umweltbundesamt (Hrsg., 2020): Bewertung klimawandelgebundener Risiken: Schadenspotenziale und ökonomische Wirkung von Klimawandel und Anpassungsmaßnahmen. Abschlussbericht zum Vorhaben „Behördenkooperation Klimawandel und -anpassung“, Teil 1. Climate Change 29/2020. Dessau-Roßlau.

Umweltbundesamt (Hrsg., 2019). Vorsorge gegen Starkregenereignisse und Maßnahmen zur wassersensiblen Stadtentwicklung - Analyse des Standes der Starkregenvorsorge in Deutschland und Ableitung zukünftigen Handlungsbedarfs. UBA Texte 55/2019. Dessau-Roßlau.

DKKV (Hrsg., 2019). Strong roots, strong women. Women and ecosystem-based adaptation to flood risk in Central Vietnam. DKKV-Schriftenreihe Nr. 61, March 2019, Bonn.

Kellermann, P., Bubeck, P., Otto, A., Kundela, G., Schönberger, C., Kirnbauer, R., Schöbel, A., Aksentijevic, J., Thieken, A.H. (2016): Building railway transport resilience to alpine hazards. Chapter 17 in: Novel Multi-Sector Partnerships in Disaster Risk Management. Results of the ENHANCE project (J. Aerts and J. Mysiak, eds). EU FP7 project ENHANCE, Brussels, p. 322-343 (PDF-Datei).

Bubeck, P., Klimmer, L., Albrecht, J. (2016): Klimaanpassung in der rechtlichen Rahmensetzung des Bundes und Auswirkungen auf die Praxis im Raumordnungs-, Städtebau- und Wasserrecht. Natur und Recht, 38: 297-307. doi: 10.1007/s10357-016-3003-1.

Buth, M., Kahlenborn, W., Savelsberg, J., Becker, N., Bubeck, P., Kabisch, S., Kind, C. et al. (2015): Vulnerabilität Deutschlands gegenüber dem Klimawandel. Umweltbundesamt. Climate Change 24/2015, Dessau-Roßlau.  

Bubeck, P. and Zebisch, M. (2014): Standardised vulnerability assessments support adaptation planning and evaluation. In: GIZ Adapt to Climate Change Newsletter.  Issue No. 20. Eschborn. Abrufbar unter: http://www.giz.de/fachexpertise/downloads/giz2014-en-climate-newsletter-adapt-14-20.pdf     

Buth, M., Bubeck, P., Kahlenborn, W., Greiving, S., Zebisch, M., Schauser, I. (2014): Methodisches Vorgehen des Netzwerks Vulnerabilität. KomPass Newsletter Nr. 33, Umweltbundesamt. Dessau. Abrufbar unter: http://www.umweltbundesamt.de/sites/default/files/medien/newsletter/2014_10_nr33.pdf 

Fritzsche, K., Schneiderbauer S., Bubeck P., Kienberger S., Buth, M., Zebisch, M., Kahlenborn, W. (2014). The Vulnerability Sourcebook: Concepts and guidelines for standardized vulnerability assessments. Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH. Bonn and Eschborn. Germany.

Suu, L. T. T., Bubeck, P., Douma, A., Lasage, R. (2012). The ADAPTS programme in Vietnam: Synthesis report. ADAPTS project report. Amsterdam.

Bubeck, P., Kreibich, H. (2011). Natural Hazards: direct costs and losses due to the disruption of production processes. FP7 CONHAZ project report. Potsdam.

Suu, L. T. T., My, P.T., Douma, A., Bubeck, P. (2010). Community-based Adaptation Strategies for Enhancing Resilience to Climate Change in the Huong River Basin. Center for Social Research and Development. ADAPTS Project Report. Amsterdam.

Bubeck, P., & Koomen, E. (2008). The use of quantitative evaluation measures in land-use change projections. An inventory of indicators available in the Land Use Scanner. VU University Amsterdam.