Raya Keuth
Research interests
My broad research interest lies in understanding how global change affects species and their extinction risk, with the goal of informing conservation decisions. I focus on macroecological scales and enjoy using a range of ecological models, including species distribution models and individual-based models. I am also interested in advancing these modelling techniques to improve their applicability in conservation decision-making.
Links
Project
During my PhD I will investigate how a climate-smart expansion of the EU’s protected area network to meet the ”30 by 30” target can contribute to halting species extinctions by using different ecological models.

Raya Keuth
Raya Keuth
Academic career
2024 – 2025: Research assistant in Ecology/ Macroecology group, University of Potsdam
2021 – 2024: MSc Ecology, Evolution, and Conservation, University of Potsdam
2020: Internship at the Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Frankfurt am Main
2017 – 2020: Bsc Biology, Philipps-University Marburg
Scholarships
2026 – Present: Dissertation Fellowship of the German Federal Environmental Foundation (Deutsche Bundesstiftung Umwelt, DBU)
2020-2024: Student Scholarship of the German Academic Scholarship Foundation (Studientstiftung des deutschen Volkes)
Publications
Under review
Keuth R, Fritz S, Zurell D (2025) Red List criteria underestimate climate-related extinction risk of range-shifting species. bioRxiv. https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.08.20.671260Submitted to Nature Ecology & Evolution
Published
Zurell D, Bocedi G, Velazco SJE, ... , Keuth R, ... , Urban M (2025). Predicting the way forward for the Global Biodiversity Framework. PNAS, 122(41). https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2501695122
Schön J, Keuth R, Homeier J, Lemberger O, Bendix J, Farwig N , Brandel R (2024). Do leaf traits shape herbivory in a tropical montane rainforest? A multi-species approach. Ecosphere, 15(10). https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.70018
Junker R, Albrecht J, Becker M, Keuth R, Farwig N , Schleuning M (2023). Towards an animal economics spectrum for ecosystem research. Functional Ecology 37(1): 57-72. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2435.14051