Publications

Pre-print

  • Karger DN, Saladin B, Wüest-Karpati RO, Graham CH, Zurell D, Mo L, Zimmermann NE (2021) Interannual climate variability data improves niche estimates in species distribution models. bioRxiv. DOI: 10.1101/2021.08.30.458152

In press

  • de Oliveira-Silva AE, Piratelli AJ, Zurell D, da Silva FR (2021) Vegetation cover restrict habitat suitability predictions of endemic Brazilian Atlantic Forest birds. Perspectives in Ecology and Conservation. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pecon.2021.09.002pdf
  • Taylor A, Zotz G, Weigelt P, Cai L, Karger DN, König C, Kreft H (2021). Vascular epiphytes contribute disproportionately to global centres of plant diversity. Global Ecology and Biogeography. https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13411
  • Urban MC, Travis JMJ, Zurell D, Thompson PL, Synes NW, Scarpa A, Peres-Neto PR, Malchow AK, James PMA, Gravel D, De Meester L, Brown C, Bocedi G, Albert CH, Gonzalez A, Hendry AP (accepted) Coding for Life: Designing a platform for projecting and protecting global biodiversity. BioScience.
  • Zurell D, Koenig C, Malchow AK, Kapitza S, Bocedi G, Travis JMJ, Fandos G (2021) Spatially explicit models for decision-making in animal conservation and restoration. Ecography. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.05787pdf

2021

  • Bleyhl B, Ghoddousi A, Askerov E, Bocedi G, Breitenmoser U, Manvelyan K, Palmer S, Soofi M, Weinberg P, Zazanashvili N, Shmunk V, Zurell D, Kümmerle T (2021) Reducing persecution is more effective for restoring large carnivores than restoring their prey. Ecological Applications 31: e02338.  linkpdf
  • Bocedi G, Palmer SCF, Malchow AK, Zurell D, Watts K, Travis JMJ (2021) RangeShifter 2.0: An extended and enhanced platform for modelling spatial eco-evolutionary dynamics and species’ responses to environmental changes. Ecography 44:1453-1462. linkpdfGUI/manual/tutorials
  • Briscoe N, Zurell D, Elith J, König C, Fandos G, Malchow AK, Kery M, Schmid H, Guillera-Arroita G (2021) Can dynamic occupancy models improve predictions of species’ range dynamics? A test using Swiss birds. Global Change Biology 27: 4269-4282. link
  • Fandos G, Kéry M, Cano-Alonso LS, Carbonell I, Tellería JL (2021) Dynamic multistate occupancy modeling to evaluate population dynamics under a scenario of preferential sampling. Ecosphere 12: e03469.  link
  • König C, Weigelt P, Taylor A, Stein A, Dawson W, Essl F, Pergl J, Pysek P, van Kleunen M, Winter M, Chatelain C, Wieringa J, Krestoc P, Kreft H (2021) Source pools and disharmony of the world's island floras. Ecography 44: 44-55. link
  • König C, Wüest R, Graham C, Karger D, Sattler T, Zimmermann N, Zurell D (2021) Scale dependency of joint species distribution models challenges interpretation of biotic interactions. Journal of Biogeography 48: 1541-1551. link
  • Lenzner B, Magallon S, Dawson W, Kreft H, König C, Pergl J, Pysek P, Weigelt P, van Kleunen M, Winter M, Dullinger S, Essl F (2021) Role of diversification rates and evolutionary history as a driver of plant naturalization success. New Phytologist 229: 2998-3008. link
  • Malchow AK, Bocedi G, Palmer SCF, Travis JMJ, Zurell D (2021) RangeShiftR: an R package for individual-based simulation of spatial eco-evolutionary dynamics and species’ responses to environmental change. Ecography 4: 1443-1452. linkpdftutorials
  • Rotics S, Turjeman S, Kaatz M, Zurell D, Wikelski M, Sapir N, Fieder W, Eggers U, Resheff YS, Jeltsch F, Nathan R (2021) Early-life behavior predicts first-year survival in a long-distance avian migrant. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 288: 20202670. link
  • Turjeman S, Eggers U, Rotics S, Fiedler W, Centeno-Cuadros A, Kaatz M, Zurell D, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R (2021) Estimating nest switching in free-ranging, wild birds: An assessment of the most common methodologies, illustrated in the white stork (Ciconia ciconia). Ibis 163: 1110-1119. link
  • Wetterich S, Rudaya N, Nazarova L, Syrykh L, Pavlova M, Palagushkina O, Kizyakov A, Wolter J, Kuznetsova T, Aksenov A, Stoof-Leichsenring KR, Schirrmeister L, Fritz M (2021): Paleo-Ecology of the Yedoma Ice Complex on Sobo-Sise Island (EasternLena Delta, Siberian Arctic). Frontiers in Earth Science 9: 681511. link
  • Wohlwend MR, Craven D, Weigelt P, Seebens H, Winter M, Kreft H, Zurell D, Cabral JS, Essl F, van Kleunen M, Pergl J, Pysek P, Knight TM (2021) Anthropogenic and environmental drivers shape diversity of naturalized plants across the Pacific. Diversity and Distributions 27: 1120-1133. link

2020

  • Becciu P, Rotics S, Horvitz N, Kaatz M, Fiedler W, Zurell D, Flack A, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Sapir N (2020) Causes and consequences of facultative sea crossing in a soaring migrant. Functional Ecology 34: 840-852. LinkRequest pdf copypreprint bioRxiv 758102
  • Beckman N, Aslan C, Rogers H, Kogan O, Bronstein J, Bullock J, Hartig F, HilleRisLambers J, Zhou Y, Zurell D, Brodie J, Bruna E, Cantrell S, Decker R, Effiom E, Fricke E, Gurski K, Hastings A, Johnson J, Loiselle B, Miriti M, Neubert M, Pejchar L, Poulsen J, Pufal G, Razafindratsima O, Sandor M, Shea K, Schreiber S, Schupp E, Snell R, Strickland C, Zambrano J (2020) Advancing an interdisciplinary framework to study seed dispersal ecology. AoB Plants 12: plz048. linkpdf
  • Descombes P, Walthert L, Baltensweiler A, Meuli R, Karger D, Ginzler C, Zurell D, Zimmermann NE (2020) Spatial modelling of ecological indicator values improves predictions of plant distributions in complex landscapes. Ecography 43: 1448-1463. linkpdf.
  • Fandos G, Rotics S, Sapir N, Fiedler W, Kaatz M, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Zurell D (2020) Seasonal niche tracking of climate emerges at the population level in a migratory bird. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 287: 20201799. linkpdf
  • Romero-Muñoz A, Benítez-López A, Zurell D, Baumann M, Camino M, Decarre J, Giordano AJ, Gómez-Valencia B, Levers C, Noss AJ, Quiroga V, Thompson J, Torres R, Velilla M, Weiler A, Kümmerle T (2020) Increasing synergistic effects of habitat destruction and hunting on mammals over three decades in the Gran Chaco. Ecography 43: 954-966. Linkpdf.
  • Wüest R, Zimmermann NE, Zurell D, Alexander J, Fritz SA, Hof C, Kreft H, Normand S, Cabral JS, Szekely E, Thuiller W, Wikelski M, Karger DN (2020) Macroecology in the age of big data - where to go from here? Journal of Biogeography 47: 1-12. Linkpdf
  • Zurell D, Franklin J, König C, Bouchet PJ, Serra-Diaz JM, Dormann CF, Elith J, Fandos Guzman G, Feng X, Guillera-Arroita G, Guisan A, Leitão PJ, Lahoz-Monfort JJ, Park DS, Peterson AT, Rapacciuolo G, Schmatz DR, Schröder B, Thuiller W, Yates KL, Zimmermann NE, Merow C (2020) A standard protocol for describing species distribution models. Ecography 43: 1261-1277. Linkpdf – Appendix (case studies, ODMAP table) – Link to Shiny app
  • Zurell D, Zimmermann NE, Gross H, Baltensweiler A, Sattler T, Wüest R (2020) Testing species assemblage predictions from stacked and joint species distribution models. Journal of Biogeography 47: 101-113. LinkpdfSuppInfo

Pre 2020

  • Aslan C, Beckman N, Rogers H, Bronstein J, Zurell D, Hartig F, Shea K, Pejchar L, Neubert M, Poulsen J, HilleRisLambers J, Miriti M, Loiselle B, Effiom E, Zambrano J, Schupp E, Pufal G, Johnson J, Bullock J, Brodie J, Bruna E, Cantrell S, Decker R, Fricke E, Gurski K, Hastings A, Kogan O, Powell J, Razafindratsima O, Sandor M, Schreiber S, Snell R, Strickland C, Zhou J (2019) Employing plant functional groups to advance seed dispersal ecology and conservation. AoB Plants 11: plz006. Linkpdf
  • Bouchet PJ, Peterson AT, Zurell D, Dormann CF, Schoeman D, Ross RE, Snelgrove P, Sequeira AMM, Whittingham MJ, Wang L, Rapacciuolo G, Oppel S, Mellin C, Lauria V, Krishnakumar PK, Jones AR, Heinänen S, Heikkinen RK, Gregr EJ, Fielding AH, Caley MJ, Barbosa AM, Bamford AJ, Parnell S, Wenger S, Yates KL (2019) Better model transfers require knowledge of mechanisms. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 34: 489-490. Linkpreprint
  • Gallien L, Thornhill AH, Zurell D, Miller JT, Richardson DM (2019) Global predictors of alien plant establishment success: combining niche and trait proxies. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 286: 20182477. LinkRequest pdf copy
  • Johnson J, Cantrell S, Cosner C, Hartig F, Hastings A, Rogers H, Schupp E, Shea K, Teller B, Yu X, Zurell D, Pufal G (2019) Rapid changes in seed dispersal traits may modify plant responses to global change. AoB Plants 11: plz020. DOI: 10.1093/aobpla/plz020. Linkpdf
  • Peterson AT, Anderson RP, Beger M, Bolliger J, Brotons L, Burridge CP, Cobos ME, Cuervo‐Robayo AP, Di Minin E, Diez J, Elith J, Embling CB, Escobar LE, Essl F, Feeley KJ, Hawkes L, Jimenez‐Garcia D, Jimenez L, Green DM, Knop E, Kuehn I, Lahoz‐Monfort JJ, Lira‐Noriega A, Lobo JM, Loyola R, Mac Nally R, Machado‐Stredel F, Martínez‐Meyer E, McCarthy M, Merow C, Nori J, Nuñez‐Penichet C, Osorio-Olvera L, Pysek P, Rejmánek M, Ricciardi A, Robertson M, Rojas Soto O, Romero‐Alvarez D, Roura‐Pascual N, Santini L, Schoeman DS, Schroeder B, Soberon J, Strubbe D, Thuiller W, Traveset A, Treml EA, Vaclavik T, Varela S, Watson JEM, Wiersma Y, Wintle B, Yanez‐Arenas C, Zurell D (2019) Open access solutions for biodiversity journals: do not replace one problem with another. Diversity and Distributions 25: 5-8. Linkpdf
  • Rogers H, Beckman N, Hartig F, Johnson J, Pufal G, Shea K, Zurell D, Bullock J, Loiselle B, Pejchar L, Razafindratsima O, Sandor M, Schupp E, Strickland C, Zambrano J (2019) The total dispersal kernel: a review and future directions. AoB Plants 11: plz042. Linkpdf
  • Gallien L, Zurell D & Zimmermann NE (2018) Frequency and intensity of facilitation reveal opposing patterns along a stress gradient. Ecology and Evolution 8: 2171-2181. Linkpdf
  • Rotics S, Kaatz M, Turjeman S, Zurell D, Wikelski M, Sapir N, Eggers U, Fiedler W, Jeltsch F, Nathan R (2018) Early arrival to breeding grounds: causes, costs and a trade-off with overwintering latitude. Journal of Animal Ecology 87: 16271638. Linkpdf
  • Schaefer M, Menz S, Jeltsch F, Zurell D (2018) sOAR: A tool for modelling optimal animal life-history strategies in cyclic environments. Ecography 41: 551-557. Linkpdf
  • Yates KL, Bouchet PJ, Caley MJ, Mengersen K, Randin CF, Parnell S, Fielding AH, Bamford, AJ, Ban S, Barbosa AM, Dormann CF, Elith J, Embling CB, Ervin GN, Fisher R, Gould S, Graf RF, Gregr EJ, Halpin P, Heikkinen RK, Heinänen S, Jones AR, Krishnakumar PK, Lauria V, Lozano-Montes H, Mannocci L, Mellin C, Mesgaran MB, Moreno-Amat E, Mormede S, Nowaczek E, Oppel S, Crespo GO, Peterson AT, Rappaciuolo G, Roberts JJ, Ross RE, Scales KL, Schoeman D, Snelgrove P, Sundblad G, Thuiller W, Torres LG, Verbruggen H, Wang L, Wenger S, Whittingham MJ, Zharikov Y, Zurell D & Sequeira AMM (2018) Outstanding challenges in the transferability of ecological models. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 33: 790-802. Linkpdf
  • Zurell D, Gallien L, Graham CH, Zimmermann NE (2018) Do long-distance migratory birds track their niche through seasons? Journal of Biogeography 45: 1459-1468. Editor’s choice.LinkpreprintRequest pdf copySuppInfoSuppData
  • Zurell D, Graham CH, Gallien L, Thuiller W, Zimmermann NE (2018) Long-distance migratory birds threatened by multiple independent risks from global change. Nature Climate Change 8: 992-996. link  – pdfSuppInfo
  • Zurell D, Pollock LJ, Thuiller W (2018) Do joint species distribution models reliably detect interspecific interactions from co-occurrence data in homogenous environments? Ecography 41: 1812-1819. LinkpdfSuppInfo
  • Zurell D, von Wehrden H, Rotics S, Kaatz M, Groß H, Schlag L, Schäfer M, Sapir N, Turjeman S, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Jeltsch F (2018) Home range size and resource use of breeding and non-breeding white storks along a land use gradient. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 6: 79. LinkpdfSuppInfo
  • Rotics S, Turjeman S, Kaatz M, Resheff Y S, Zurell D, Sapir N, Eggers U, Fiedler W, Flack A, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R (2017) Wintering in Europe instead of Africa enhances juvenile survival in a long-distance migrant. Animal Behaviour 126: 79-88. Linkpdf
  • Zurell D (2017) Integrating demography, dispersal and interspecific interactions into bird distribution models. Journal of Avian Biology 48: 1505-1516. Linkpdf
  • Rotics S, Kaatz M, Resheff YS, Feldman S, Zurell D, Sapir N, Eggers U, Flack A, Fiedler W, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R (2016) The challenges of the first migration: movement and behavior of juvenile versus adult white storks with insights regarding juvenile mortality. Journal of Animal Ecology 85: 938-947. Highly Cited Paper by Essential Science IndicatorsLinkpdf
  • Zurell D, Thuiller W, Pagel J, Cabral JS, Münkemüller T, Gravel D, Dullinger S, Normand S, Schiffers KH, Moore KA & Zimmermann NE (2016) Benchmarking novel approaches for modelling species range dynamics. Global Change Biology 22: 2651-2264. LinkpdfSuppInfo
  • Zurell D, Zimmermann NE, Sattler T, Nobis MP & Schröder B (2016) The effect of functional traits on the prediction accuracy of species richness models. Diversity and Distributions 22: 905-917. LinkpdfSuppInfo
  • Zurell D, Eggers U, Kaatz M, Rotics S, Sapir N, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Jeltsch F (2015) Individual-based modelling of resource competition to predict density-dependent population dynamics: a case study with white storks. Oikos 124: 319-330. LinkpdfSuppInfo
  • Bocedi G, Zurell D, Reineking B, Travis JMJ (2014) Mechanistic modelling of animal dispersal offers new insights into range expansion dynamics across fragmented landscapes. Ecography 37: 1240-1253. Linkpdf
  • Thuiller W, Münkemüller T, Schiffers KH, Georges D, Dullinger S, Eckhart VM, Edwards TC, Gravel D, Kunstler G, Merow C, Moore K, Piedallu C, Vissault S, Zimmermann NE, Zurell D, Schurr FM (2014) Does probability of occurrence relate to population dynamics? Ecography 37: 1155-1166. Linkpdf
  • Dormann CF, Elith J, Bacher S, Buchmann CM, Carl G, Carré G, García Marquéz JR, Gruber B, Lafourcade B, Leitão PJ, Münkemüller T, McClean C, Osborne P, Reineking B, Schröder B, Skidmore A, Zurell D, Lautenbach S (2013) Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance. Ecography 36: 27-46. Editor’s choice. Highly Cited Paper by Essential Science IndicatorsLinkpdf
  • Jeltsch F, Blaum N, Brose U, Chipperfield JD, Clough Y, Farwig N, Geissler K, Graham CH, Grimm V, Hickler T, Huth A, May F, Meyer KM, Pagel J, Reineking B, Rillig MC, Shea K, Schurr FM, Schröder B, Tielbörger K, Weiss L, Wiegand K, Wiegand T, Wirth C, Zurell D (2013) How can we bring together empiricists and modellers in functional biodiversity research? Basic and Applied Ecology 14: 93-101. Linkpdf
  • Jeltsch F, Bonte D, Pe’er G, Reineking B, Leimgruber P, Balkenhol N, Schröder B, Buchmann CM, Mueller T, Blaum N, Zurell D, Böhning-Gaese K, Wiegand T, Eccard JA, Hofer H, Reeg J, Eggers U, Bauer S (2013) Integrating movement ecology with biodiversity research - exploring new avenues to address spatiotemporal biodiversity dynamics. Movement Ecology 1:6. Linkpdf
  • Gutt J, Zurell D, Bracegridle TJ, Cheung W, Clark MS, Convey P, Danis B, David B, De Broyer C, di Prisco G, Griffiths H, Laffont R, Peck L, Pierrat B, Riddle MJ, Saucede T, Turner J, Verde C, Wang Z, Grimm V (2012) Correlative and dynamic species distribution modelling for ecological predictions in the Antarctic: a cross-disciplinary concept. Polar Research 31: 11091. Linkpdf
  • Zurell D, Elith J, Schröder B (2012) Predicting to new environments: tools for visualising model behaviour and impacts on mapped distributions. Diversity and Distributions 18:628-634. Linkpdf
  • Zurell D, Grimm V, Rossmanith E, Zbinden N, Zimmermann NE, Schröder B (2012) Uncertainty in predictions of range dynamics: black grouse climbing the Swiss Alps. Ecography 35: 590-603. Linkpdf
  • Zurell D, Berger U, Cabral JS, Jeltsch F, Meynard CN, Münkemüller T, Nehrbass N, Pagel J, Reineking B, Schröder B, Grimm V (2010) The virtual ecologist approach: simulating data and observers. Oikos 119: 622-635. Linkpdf
  • Zurell D, Jeltsch F, Dormann CF, Schröder B (2009) Static species distribution models in dynamically changing systems: how good can predictions really be? Ecography 32: 733-744. Linkpdf