Descombes P, Chauvier Y, Brun P, Righetti D, Wüest RO, Karger DN, Zurell D, Zimmermann NE (2022) Strategies for sampling pseudo-absences for species distribution models in complex mountainous terrain. bioRxiv. DOI: 10.1101/2022.03.24.485693
Karger DN, Saladin B, Wüest-Karpati RO, Graham CH, Zurell D, Mo L, Zimmermann NE (2021) Interannual climate variability data improves niche estimates in species distribution models. bioRxiv. DOI: 10.1101/2021.08.30.458152
Malchow AK,Fandos G, Kormann U, Grüebler M, Kéry M, Hartig F, Zurell D (2022) Fitting individual-based models of species range dynamics to long-term monitoring data. bioRxiv. DOI: 10.1101/2022.09.26.509574
Malchow AK, Hartig F, Reeg J, Kéry M, Zurell D (2022) Demography-environment relationships improve mechanistic understanding of range dynamics under climate change. bioRxiv. DOI: 10.1101/2022.09.23.509134
In press
Cabral JS, Mendoza-Ponce A, da Silva AP, Oberpriller J, Mimet A, Kieslinger J, Berger T, Blechschmidt J, Brönner M, Classen A, Fallert S, Hartig F, Hof C, Hoffmann M, Knoke T, Krause A, Lewerentz A, Pohle P, Raeder U, Rammig A, Redlich S, Rubanschi S, Stetter C, Weisser W, Vedder D, Verburg PH, Zurell D (accepted) The road to integrate climate change projections with regional land-use-biodiversity models. People and Nature – preprint
2023
Fandos G, Talluto M, Fiedler W, Robinson RA, Thorup K, Zurell D (2023) Standardised empirical dispersal kernels emphasise the pervasiveness of long-distance dispersal in European birds. Journal of Animal Ecology 92: 158-170. Link – pdf
Pratzer M, Nill L, Kümmerle T, Zurell D, Fandos G (2023) Large carnivore range expansion in Iberia in relation to different scenarios of permeability of human-dominated landscapes. Diversity and Distributions 29: 75-88. Link – pdf
Southwell D, Skroblin A, Moseby K, Southgate R, Indigo N, Backhouse B, Bellchambers K, Brandle R, Brenton P, Copley P, Dziminski M, Galindez-Silva C, Lynch C, Newman P, Pedler R, Rogers D, Roshier D, Ryan-Colton E, Tuft K, Ward M, Zurell D, Legge S (2023) Designing a large-scale track-based monitoring program to detect changes in species distributions in arid Australia. Ecological Applications 33: e2762. Link – pdf
Zurell D, Fritz SA, Roennfelt A, Steinbauer MJ (2023) Predicting extinctions with species distribution models. Cambridge Prisms: Extinction 1: e8. Link – pdf
2022
de Oliveira-Silva AE, Piratelli AJ, Zurell D, da Silva FR (2022) Vegetation cover restrict habitat suitability predictions of endemic Brazilian Atlantic Forest birds. Perspectives in Ecology and Conservation 20: 1-8. Link – pdf
Emery C, Malchow AK (2022) Stability-instability transition in tripartite merged ecological networks. Journal of Mathematical Biology 85: 20. Link
Ghoddousi A, Van Cayzeele C, Negahdar, P, Soofi M, Kh. Hamidi A, Bleyhl B, Fandos G, Khorozyan I, Waltert M, Kuemmerle T (2022) Understanding Spatial Patterns of Poaching Pressure Using Ranger Logbook Data to Optimize Future Patrolling Strategies. Ecological Applications 32: e2601. Link
Peterson AT, Aiello-Lammens M, Amatulli G, Anderson R, Cobos M, Diniz-Filho JA, Escobar L, Feng X, Franklin J, Gadelha L, Georges D, Gueguen M, Gueta T, Ingenloff K, Jarvie S, Jimenez L, Karger D, Kass J, Kearney M, Loyola R, Machado-Stredel F, Martinez-Meyer E, Merow C, Mondelli ML, Mortara S, Muscarella R, Myers C, Naimi B, Noesgaard D, Ondo I, Osorio-Olvera L, Owens H, Pearson R, Pinilla-Buitrago G, Sanchez-Tapia A, Saupe E, Thuiller W, Varela S, Warren D, Wieczorek J, Yates K, Zhu G, Zuquim G, Zurell D (2022) ENM2020: A Free Online Course and Set of Resources on Modeling Species’ Niches and Distributions. Biodiversity Informatics 17: 1-9. Link – pdf
Reeg J, Strigl L, Jeltsch F (2022) Agricultural buffer zone thresholds to safeguard functional bee diversity: Insights from a community modeling approach. Ecology & Evolution 12(3): e8748. link
Taylor A, Zotz G, Weigelt P, Cai L, Karger DN, König C, Kreft H (2022). Vascular epiphytes contribute disproportionately to global centres of plant diversity. Global Ecology and Biogeography 31: 62-74. link
Urban MC, Travis JMJ, Zurell D, Thompson PL, Synes NW, Scarpa A, Peres-Neto PR, Malchow AK, James PMA, Gravel D, De Meester L, Brown C, Bocedi G, Albert CH, Gonzalez A, Hendry AP (2022) Coding for Life: Designing a platform for projecting and protecting global biodiversity. BioScience 72: 91-104. link
Windirsch T, Grosse G, Ulrich M, Forbes BC, Göckede M, Wolter J, Macias-Fauria M, Olofsson J, Zimov N, Strauss J (2021): Large Herbivores Affecting Permafrost—Impacts of Grazing on Permafrost Soil Carbon Storage in Northeastern Siberia. Frontiers in Environmental Science 10: 893478. Link
Zurell D, Koenig C, Malchow AK, Kapitza S, Bocedi G, Travis JMJ, Fandos G (2022) Spatially explicit models for decision-making in animal conservation and restoration. Ecography 2022: e05787. Link – pdf
2021
Bleyhl B, Ghoddousi A, Askerov E, Bocedi G, Breitenmoser U, Manvelyan K, Palmer S, Soofi M, Weinberg P, Zazanashvili N, Shmunk V, Zurell D, Kümmerle T (2021) Reducing persecution is more effective for restoring large carnivores than restoring their prey. Ecological Applications 31: e02338. link – pdf
Bocedi G, Palmer SCF, Malchow AK, Zurell D, Watts K, Travis JMJ (2021) RangeShifter 2.0: An extended and enhanced platform for modelling spatial eco-evolutionary dynamics and species’ responses to environmental changes. Ecography 44:1453-1462. link – pdf – GUI/manual/tutorials
Briscoe N, Zurell D, Elith J, König C, Fandos G, Malchow AK, Kery M, Schmid H, Guillera-Arroita G (2021) Can dynamic occupancy models improve predictions of species’ range dynamics? A test using Swiss birds. Global Change Biology 27: 4269-4282. link
Fandos G, Kéry M, Cano-Alonso LS, Carbonell I, Tellería JL (2021) Dynamic multistate occupancy modeling to evaluate population dynamics under a scenario of preferential sampling. Ecosphere 12: e03469. link
König C, Weigelt P, Taylor A, Stein A, Dawson W, Essl F, Pergl J, Pysek P, van Kleunen M, Winter M, Chatelain C, Wieringa J, Krestoc P, Kreft H (2021) Source pools and disharmony of the world's island floras. Ecography 44: 44-55. link
König C, Wüest R, Graham C, Karger D, Sattler T, Zimmermann N, Zurell D (2021) Scale dependency of joint species distribution models challenges interpretation of biotic interactions. Journal of Biogeography 48: 1541-1551. link
Lenzner B, Magallon S, Dawson W, Kreft H, König C, Pergl J, Pysek P, Weigelt P, van Kleunen M, Winter M, Dullinger S, Essl F (2021) Role of diversification rates and evolutionary history as a driver of plant naturalization success. New Phytologist 229: 2998-3008. link
Malchow AK, Bocedi G, Palmer SCF, Travis JMJ, Zurell D (2021) RangeShiftR: an R package for individual-based simulation of spatial eco-evolutionary dynamics and species’ responses to environmental change. Ecography 4: 1443-1452. link – pdf – tutorials
Rotics S, Turjeman S, Kaatz M, Zurell D, Wikelski M, Sapir N, Fieder W, Eggers U, Resheff YS, Jeltsch F, Nathan R (2021) Early-life behavior predicts first-year survival in a long-distance avian migrant. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 288: 20202670. link
Rutkowski C, Lenz J, Lang A, Wolter J, Mothes S, Reemtsma T, Grosse G, Ulrich M, Fuchs M, Schirrmeister L, Fedorov A, Grigoriev M, Lantuit H, Strauss J (2021) Mercury in sediment core samples from deep Siberian ice-rich permafrost. Frontiers in Earth Science 9: 718153. link
Turjeman S, Eggers U, Rotics S, Fiedler W, Centeno-Cuadros A, Kaatz M, Zurell D, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R (2021) Estimating nest switching in free-ranging, wild birds: An assessment of the most common methodologies, illustrated in the white stork (Ciconia ciconia). Ibis 163: 1110-1119. link
Wetterich S, Rudaya N, Nazarova L, Syrykh L, Pavlova M, Palagushkina O, Kizyakov A, Wolter J, Kuznetsova T, Aksenov A, Stoof-Leichsenring KR, Schirrmeister L, Fritz M (2021): Paleo-Ecology of the Yedoma Ice Complex on Sobo-Sise Island (EasternLena Delta, Siberian Arctic). Frontiers in Earth Science 9: 681511. link
Wohlwend MR, Craven D, Weigelt P, Seebens H, Winter M, Kreft H, Zurell D, Cabral JS, Essl F, van Kleunen M, Pergl J, Pysek P, Knight TM (2021) Anthropogenic and environmental drivers shape diversity of naturalized plants across the Pacific. Diversity and Distributions 27: 1120-1133. link
Yang Q, Weigelt P, Fristoe TS, Zhang Z, Kreft H, Stein A, Seebens H, Dawson W, Essl F, König C, Lenzner B, Pergl J, Pouteau R, Pyšek P, Winter M, Ebel AL, Fuentes N, Giehl EHL, Kartesz J, Krestov P, Kukk T, Nishino M, Kupriyanov A, Villaseñor JL, Wieringa JJ, Zeddam A, Zykova E, van Kleunen M (2021) The global loss of floristic uniqueness. Nature Communications 12: 7290. link
2020
Becciu P, Rotics S, Horvitz N, Kaatz M, Fiedler W, Zurell D, Flack A, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Sapir N (2020) Causes and consequences of facultative sea crossing in a soaring migrant. Functional Ecology 34: 840-852. Link – Request pdf copy – preprint bioRxiv 758102
Beckman N, Aslan C, Rogers H, Kogan O, Bronstein J, Bullock J, Hartig F, HilleRisLambers J, Zhou Y, Zurell D, Brodie J, Bruna E, Cantrell S, Decker R, Effiom E, Fricke E, Gurski K, Hastings A, Johnson J, Loiselle B, Miriti M, Neubert M, Pejchar L, Poulsen J, Pufal G, Razafindratsima O, Sandor M, Shea K, Schreiber S, Schupp E, Snell R, Strickland C, Zambrano J (2020) Advancing an interdisciplinary framework to study seed dispersal ecology. AoB Plants 12: plz048. link – pdf
Descombes P, Walthert L, Baltensweiler A, Meuli R, Karger D, Ginzler C, Zurell D, Zimmermann NE (2020) Spatial modelling of ecological indicator values improves predictions of plant distributions in complex landscapes. Ecography 43: 1448-1463. link – pdf.
Fandos G, Rotics S, Sapir N, Fiedler W, Kaatz M, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Zurell D (2020) Seasonal niche tracking of climate emerges at the population level in a migratory bird. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 287: 20201799. link – pdf
Romero-Muñoz A, Benítez-López A, Zurell D, Baumann M, Camino M, Decarre J, Giordano AJ, Gómez-Valencia B, Levers C, Noss AJ, Quiroga V, Thompson J, Torres R, Velilla M, Weiler A, Kümmerle T (2020) Increasing synergistic effects of habitat destruction and hunting on mammals over three decades in the Gran Chaco. Ecography 43: 954-966. Link – pdf.
Wüest R, Zimmermann NE, Zurell D, Alexander J, Fritz SA, Hof C, Kreft H, Normand S, Cabral JS, Szekely E, Thuiller W, Wikelski M, Karger DN (2020) Macroecology in the age of big data - where to go from here? Journal of Biogeography 47: 1-12. Link – pdf
Zurell D, Franklin J, König C, Bouchet PJ, Serra-Diaz JM, Dormann CF, Elith J, Fandos Guzman G, Feng X, Guillera-Arroita G, Guisan A, Leitão PJ, Lahoz-Monfort JJ, Park DS, Peterson AT, Rapacciuolo G, Schmatz DR, Schröder B, Thuiller W, Yates KL, Zimmermann NE, Merow C (2020) A standard protocol for describing species distribution models. Ecography 43: 1261-1277. Link – pdf – Appendix (case studies, ODMAP table) – Link to Shiny app
Zurell D, Zimmermann NE, Gross H, Baltensweiler A, Sattler T, Wüest R (2020) Testing species assemblage predictions from stacked and joint species distribution models. Journal of Biogeography 47: 101-113. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
Pre 2020
Aslan C, Beckman N, Rogers H, Bronstein J, Zurell D, Hartig F, Shea K, Pejchar L, Neubert M, Poulsen J, HilleRisLambers J, Miriti M, Loiselle B, Effiom E, Zambrano J, Schupp E, Pufal G, Johnson J, Bullock J, Brodie J, Bruna E, Cantrell S, Decker R, Fricke E, Gurski K, Hastings A, Kogan O, Powell J, Razafindratsima O, Sandor M, Schreiber S, Snell R, Strickland C, Zhou J (2019) Employing plant functional groups to advance seed dispersal ecology and conservation. AoB Plants 11: plz006. Link – pdf
Bouchet PJ, Peterson AT, Zurell D, Dormann CF, Schoeman D, Ross RE, Snelgrove P, Sequeira AMM, Whittingham MJ, Wang L, Rapacciuolo G, Oppel S, Mellin C, Lauria V, Krishnakumar PK, Jones AR, Heinänen S, Heikkinen RK, Gregr EJ, Fielding AH, Caley MJ, Barbosa AM, Bamford AJ, Parnell S, Wenger S, Yates KL (2019) Better model transfers require knowledge of mechanisms. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 34: 489-490. Link – preprint
Gallien L, Thornhill AH, Zurell D, Miller JT, Richardson DM (2019) Global predictors of alien plant establishment success: combining niche and trait proxies. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 286: 20182477. Link – Request pdf copy
Johnson J, Cantrell S, Cosner C, Hartig F, Hastings A, Rogers H, Schupp E, Shea K, Teller B, Yu X, Zurell D, Pufal G (2019) Rapid changes in seed dispersal traits may modify plant responses to global change. AoB Plants 11: plz020. DOI: 10.1093/aobpla/plz020. Link – pdf
Peterson AT, Anderson RP, Beger M, Bolliger J, Brotons L, Burridge CP, Cobos ME, Cuervo‐Robayo AP, Di Minin E, Diez J, Elith J, Embling CB, Escobar LE, Essl F, Feeley KJ, Hawkes L, Jimenez‐Garcia D, Jimenez L, Green DM, Knop E, Kuehn I, Lahoz‐Monfort JJ, Lira‐Noriega A, Lobo JM, Loyola R, Mac Nally R, Machado‐Stredel F, Martínez‐Meyer E, McCarthy M, Merow C, Nori J, Nuñez‐Penichet C, Osorio-Olvera L, Pysek P, Rejmánek M, Ricciardi A, Robertson M, Rojas Soto O, Romero‐Alvarez D, Roura‐Pascual N, Santini L, Schoeman DS, Schroeder B, Soberon J, Strubbe D, Thuiller W, Traveset A, Treml EA, Vaclavik T, Varela S, Watson JEM, Wiersma Y, Wintle B, Yanez‐Arenas C, Zurell D (2019) Open access solutions for biodiversity journals: do not replace one problem with another. Diversity and Distributions 25: 5-8. Link – pdf
Rogers H, Beckman N, Hartig F, Johnson J, Pufal G, Shea K, Zurell D, Bullock J, Loiselle B, Pejchar L, Razafindratsima O, Sandor M, Schupp E, Strickland C, Zambrano J (2019) The total dispersal kernel: a review and future directions. AoB Plants 11: plz042. Link – pdf
Gallien L, Zurell D & Zimmermann NE (2018) Frequency and intensity of facilitation reveal opposing patterns along a stress gradient. Ecology and Evolution 8: 2171-2181. Link – pdf
Rotics S, Kaatz M, Turjeman S, Zurell D, Wikelski M, Sapir N, Eggers U, Fiedler W, Jeltsch F, Nathan R (2018) Early arrival to breeding grounds: causes, costs and a trade-off with overwintering latitude. Journal of Animal Ecology 87: 16271638. Link – pdf
Schaefer M, Menz S, Jeltsch F, Zurell D (2018) sOAR: A tool for modelling optimal animal life-history strategies in cyclic environments. Ecography 41: 551-557. Link – pdf
Yates KL, Bouchet PJ, Caley MJ, Mengersen K, Randin CF, Parnell S, Fielding AH, Bamford, AJ, Ban S, Barbosa AM, Dormann CF, Elith J, Embling CB, Ervin GN, Fisher R, Gould S, Graf RF, Gregr EJ, Halpin P, Heikkinen RK, Heinänen S, Jones AR, Krishnakumar PK, Lauria V, Lozano-Montes H, Mannocci L, Mellin C, Mesgaran MB, Moreno-Amat E, Mormede S, Nowaczek E, Oppel S, Crespo GO, Peterson AT, Rappaciuolo G, Roberts JJ, Ross RE, Scales KL, Schoeman D, Snelgrove P, Sundblad G, Thuiller W, Torres LG, Verbruggen H, Wang L, Wenger S, Whittingham MJ, Zharikov Y, Zurell D & Sequeira AMM (2018) Outstanding challenges in the transferability of ecological models. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 33: 790-802. Link – pdf
Zurell D, Gallien L, Graham CH, Zimmermann NE (2018) Do long-distance migratory birds track their niche through seasons? Journal of Biogeography 45: 1459-1468. Editor’s choice.Link – preprint – Request pdf copy – SuppInfo – SuppData
Zurell D, Graham CH, Gallien L, Thuiller W, Zimmermann NE (2018) Long-distance migratory birds threatened by multiple independent risks from global change. Nature Climate Change 8: 992-996. link – pdf – SuppInfo
Zurell D, Pollock LJ, Thuiller W (2018) Do joint species distribution models reliably detect interspecific interactions from co-occurrence data in homogenous environments? Ecography 41: 1812-1819. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
Zurell D, von Wehrden H, Rotics S, Kaatz M, Groß H, Schlag L, Schäfer M, Sapir N, Turjeman S, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Jeltsch F (2018) Home range size and resource use of breeding and non-breeding white storks along a land use gradient. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 6: 79. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
Rotics S, Turjeman S, Kaatz M, Resheff Y S, Zurell D, Sapir N, Eggers U, Fiedler W, Flack A, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R (2017) Wintering in Europe instead of Africa enhances juvenile survival in a long-distance migrant. Animal Behaviour 126: 79-88. Link – pdf
Zurell D (2017) Integrating demography, dispersal and interspecific interactions into bird distribution models. Journal of Avian Biology 48: 1505-1516. Link – pdf
Rotics S, Kaatz M, Resheff YS, Feldman S, Zurell D, Sapir N, Eggers U, Flack A, Fiedler W, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R (2016) The challenges of the first migration: movement and behavior of juvenile versus adult white storks with insights regarding juvenile mortality. Journal of Animal Ecology 85: 938-947. Highly Cited Paper by Essential Science IndicatorsLink – pdf
Zurell D, Thuiller W, Pagel J, Cabral JS, Münkemüller T, Gravel D, Dullinger S, Normand S, Schiffers KH, Moore KA & Zimmermann NE (2016) Benchmarking novel approaches for modelling species range dynamics. Global Change Biology 22: 2651-2264. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
Zurell D, Zimmermann NE, Sattler T, Nobis MP & Schröder B (2016) The effect of functional traits on the prediction accuracy of species richness models. Diversity and Distributions 22: 905-917. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
Zurell D, Eggers U, Kaatz M, Rotics S, Sapir N, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Jeltsch F (2015) Individual-based modelling of resource competition to predict density-dependent population dynamics: a case study with white storks. Oikos 124: 319-330. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
Bocedi G, Zurell D, Reineking B, Travis JMJ (2014) Mechanistic modelling of animal dispersal offers new insights into range expansion dynamics across fragmented landscapes. Ecography 37: 1240-1253. Link – pdf
Thuiller W, Münkemüller T, Schiffers KH, Georges D, Dullinger S, Eckhart VM, Edwards TC, Gravel D, Kunstler G, Merow C, Moore K, Piedallu C, Vissault S, Zimmermann NE, Zurell D, Schurr FM (2014) Does probability of occurrence relate to population dynamics? Ecography 37: 1155-1166. Link – pdf
Dormann CF, Elith J, Bacher S, Buchmann CM, Carl G, Carré G, García Marquéz JR, Gruber B, Lafourcade B, Leitão PJ, Münkemüller T, McClean C, Osborne P, Reineking B, Schröder B, Skidmore A, Zurell D, Lautenbach S (2013) Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance. Ecography 36: 27-46. Editor’s choice. Highly Cited Paper by Essential Science IndicatorsLink – pdf
Jeltsch F, Blaum N, Brose U, Chipperfield JD, Clough Y, Farwig N, Geissler K, Graham CH, Grimm V, Hickler T, Huth A, May F, Meyer KM, Pagel J, Reineking B, Rillig MC, Shea K, Schurr FM, Schröder B, Tielbörger K, Weiss L, Wiegand K, Wiegand T, Wirth C, Zurell D (2013) How can we bring together empiricists and modellers in functional biodiversity research? Basic and Applied Ecology 14: 93-101. Link – pdf
Jeltsch F, Bonte D, Pe’er G, Reineking B, Leimgruber P, Balkenhol N, Schröder B, Buchmann CM, Mueller T, Blaum N, Zurell D, Böhning-Gaese K, Wiegand T, Eccard JA, Hofer H, Reeg J, Eggers U, Bauer S (2013) Integrating movement ecology with biodiversity research - exploring new avenues to address spatiotemporal biodiversity dynamics. Movement Ecology 1:6. Link – pdf
Gutt J, Zurell D, Bracegridle TJ, Cheung W, Clark MS, Convey P, Danis B, David B, De Broyer C, di Prisco G, Griffiths H, Laffont R, Peck L, Pierrat B, Riddle MJ, Saucede T, Turner J, Verde C, Wang Z, Grimm V (2012) Correlative and dynamic species distribution modelling for ecological predictions in the Antarctic: a cross-disciplinary concept. Polar Research 31: 11091. Link – pdf
Zurell D, Elith J, Schröder B (2012) Predicting to new environments: tools for visualising model behaviour and impacts on mapped distributions. Diversity and Distributions 18:628-634. Link – pdf
Zurell D, Grimm V, Rossmanith E, Zbinden N, Zimmermann NE, Schröder B (2012) Uncertainty in predictions of range dynamics: black grouse climbing the Swiss Alps. Ecography 35: 590-603. Link – pdf
Zurell D, Berger U, Cabral JS, Jeltsch F, Meynard CN, Münkemüller T, Nehrbass N, Pagel J, Reineking B, Schröder B, Grimm V (2010) The virtual ecologist approach: simulating data and observers. Oikos 119: 622-635. Link – pdf
Zurell D, Jeltsch F, Dormann CF, Schröder B (2009) Static species distribution models in dynamically changing systems: how good can predictions really be? Ecography 32: 733-744. Link – pdf
