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Publications

Pre-print

  • Brun P, Karger DN, Zurell D, Descombes P, de Witte L, de Lutio R, Wegner JD, Zimmermann NE (2023) Rank-based deep learning from citizen-science data to model plant communities. bioRxiv. DOI: 10.1101/2023.05.30.542843
  • Descombes P, Chauvier Y, Brun P, Righetti D, Wüest RO, Karger DN, Zurell D, Zimmermann NE (2022) Strategies for sampling pseudo-absences for species distribution models in complex mountainous terrain. bioRxiv. DOI: 10.1101/2022.03.24.48569
  • Fandos G, Robinson R, Zurell D (2024) Dispersal syndromes allow understanding but not predicting dispersal ability across the tree of life. bioRxiv. DOI: 10.1101/2024.04.01.587575
  • Oeser J, Zurell D, Mayer F, Coraman E, Toshkova N, Deleva S, Natradze I, Benda P, Ghazaryan A, Irmak S, Hasanov NA, Guliyeva GG, Gritsina M, Kuemmerle T (2024) The best of two worlds: using stacked generalization for integrating expert range maps in species distribution models. bioRxiv. DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.12.584552

In press

  • Cabral JS, Mendoza-Ponce A, da Silva AP, Oberpriller J, Mimet A, Kieslinger J, Berger T, Blechschmidt J, Brönner M, Classen A, Fallert S, Hartig F, Hof C, Hoffmann M, Knoke T, Krause A, Lewerentz A, Pohle P, Raeder U, Rammig A, Redlich S, Rubanschi S, Stetter C, Weisser W, Vedder D, Verburg PH, Zurell D (accepted) The road to integrate climate change projections with regional land-use-biodiversity models. People and Nature. DOI: 10.1002/pan3.10472 – pdf
  • Jones C, Zurell D, Wiesner K (in press) Novel analytic methods for predicting extinctions in ecological networks. Ecological Monographs. DOI: 10.1002/ecm.1601 – pdf
  • Malchow AK, Fandos G, Kormann U, Grüebler M, Kéry M, Hartig F, Zurell D (2024) Fitting individual-based models of spatial population dynamics to long-term monitoring data. Ecological Applications. DOI: 10.1002/eap.2966 – pdf

2024

  • Essl F, García-Rodríguez A, Lenzner B, Alexander JM, Capinha C, Gaüzère P, Guisan A, Kühn I, Lenoir Jonathan, Richardson DM, Rumpf SB, Svenning JC, Thuiller W, Zurell D, Dullinger S (2024) Potential sources of time lags in calibrating species distribution models. Journal of Biogeography 51: 89-102. Link – pdf
  • Hartig F, Abrego N, Bush A, Chase JM, Guillera-Arroita G, Leibold MA, Ovaskainen O, Pellissier L, Pichler M, Poggiato G, Pollock L, Si-Moussi S, Thuiller W, Viana DS, Warton D, Zurell D, Yu DW (2024) Novel community data in ecology - properties and prospects. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 39: 280-293. Link – preprint
  • Wolter J, Jones BM, Fuchs M, Breen A, Bussmann I, Koch B, Lenz J, Myers-Smith IH, Sachs T, Strauss J, Nitze I, Grosse G (2024) Post-drainage vegetation, microtopography and organic matter in Arctic drained lake basins. Environmental Research Letters 19: 045001. Link
  • Zurell D, Schifferle K, Herrando S, Keller V, Lehikoinen A, Sattler T, Wiedenroth L (2024) Range and climate niche shifts in European and North American breeding birds. Philosophical Transactions B 379: 20230013. Link – pdf – SuppInfo

2023

  • Fandos G, Talluto M, Fiedler W, Robinson RA, Thorup K, Zurell D (2023) Standardised empirical dispersal kernels emphasise the pervasiveness of long-distance dispersal in European birds. Journal of Animal Ecology 92: 158-170. Link – pdf
  • Howard C, Marjakangas EL, Morán-Ordóñez A, Milanesi P, Abuladze A, Aghababyan K, Ajder V, Arkumarev V, Balmer D, Bauer HG, Beale C, Bino T, Boyla K, Burfield I, Burke B, Caffrey B, Chodkiewicz T, Del Moral JC, Mazal V, Fernández N, Fornasari L, Gerlach B, Godinho C, Herrando S, Ieronymidou C, Johnston A, Jovicevic M, Kalyakin M, Keller V, Knaus P, Kotrošan D, Kuzmenko T, Leitão D, Lindström A, Maxhuni Q, Mihelič T, Mikuska T, Molina B, Nagy K, Noble D, Øien IJ, Paquet JY, Pladevall C, Portolou D, Radišić D, Rajkov S, Rajković D, Raudonikis L, Sattler T, Saveljić D, Shimmings P, Sjenicic J, Stastny K, Stoychev S, Strus I, Sudfeldt C, Sultanov E, Szép T, Teufelbauer N, Uzunova D, van Turnhout C, Velevski M, Vikstrøm T, Vintchevski A, Voltzit O, Voříšek P, Wilk T, Zurell D, Brotons L, Lehikoinen L, Willis S (2023) Local colonisations and extinctions of European birds are poorly explained by changes in climate suitability. Nature Communications 14: 4304. Link – pdf
  • Karger DN, Saladin B, Wüest-Karpati RO, Graham CH, Zurell D, Mo L, Zimmermann NE (2023) Interannual climate variability improves niche estimates for ectothermic but not endothermic species. Scientific Reports 13: 12538. Link – pdf – preprint
  • Malchow AK, Hartig F, Reeg J, Kéry M, Zurell D (2023) Demography-environment relationships improve mechanistic understanding of range dynamics under climate change. Philosophical Transactions B 378: 20220194. Link – pdf
  • Pang SEH, Slik FJW, Zurell D, Webb EL (2023) The clustering of spatially associated species unravels patterns in Bornean tree species distributions. Ecosphere 14: e4589. Link – pdf
  • Pratzer M, Nill L, Kümmerle T, Zurell D, Fandos G (2023) Large carnivore range expansion in Iberia in relation to different scenarios of permeability of human-dominated landscapes. Diversity and Distributions 29: 75-88. Link – pdf
  • Southwell D, Skroblin A, Moseby K, Southgate R, Indigo N, Backhouse B, Bellchambers K, Brandle R, Brenton P, Copley P, Dziminski M, Galindez-Silva C, Lynch C, Newman P, Pedler R, Rogers D, Roshier D, Ryan-Colton E, Tuft K, Ward M, Zurell D, Legge S (2023) Designing a large-scale track-based monitoring program to detect changes in species distributions in arid Australia. Ecological Applications 33: e2762. Link – pdf
  • Tekwa E, Gonzalez A, Zurell D, O’Connor M (2023) Detecting and attributing the causes of biodiversity change: needs, gaps, and solutions. Philosophical Transactions B 378: 20220181. Link – pdf
  • Windirsch T, Forbes BC, Grosse G, Wolter J, Stark S, Treat C, Ulrich M, Fuchs M, Olofsson J, Kumpula T, Macias-Fauria M, Strauss J
    (2023) Impacts of Reindeer on Soil Carbon Storage in the Seasonally Frozen Ground of Northern Finland: A Pilot Study. Boreal Environmental Research 28: 207-226. Link
  • Zurell D, Fritz SA, Roennfeldt A, Steinbauer MJ (2023) Predicting extinctions with species distribution models. Cambridge Prisms: Extinction 1: e8. Link – pdf

2022

  • de Oliveira-Silva AE, Piratelli AJ, Zurell D, da Silva FR (2022) Vegetation cover restrict habitat suitability predictions of endemic Brazilian Atlantic Forest birds. Perspectives in Ecology and Conservation 20: 1-8. Link – pdf
  • Emery C, Malchow AK (2022) Stability-instability transition in tripartite merged ecological networks. Journal of Mathematical Biology 85: 20. Link
  • Ghoddousi A, Van Cayzeele C, Negahdar, P, Soofi M, Kh. Hamidi A, Bleyhl B, Fandos G, Khorozyan I, Waltert M, Kuemmerle T (2022) Understanding Spatial Patterns of Poaching Pressure Using Ranger Logbook Data to Optimize Future Patrolling Strategies. Ecological Applications 32: e2601. Link
  • Peterson AT, Aiello-Lammens M, Amatulli G, Anderson R, Cobos M, Diniz-Filho JA, Escobar L, Feng X, Franklin J, Gadelha L, Georges D, Gueguen M, Gueta T, Ingenloff K, Jarvie S, Jimenez L, Karger D, Kass J, Kearney M, Loyola R, Machado-Stredel F, Martinez-Meyer E, Merow C, Mondelli ML, Mortara S, Muscarella R, Myers C, Naimi B, Noesgaard D, Ondo I, Osorio-Olvera L, Owens H, Pearson R, Pinilla-Buitrago G, Sanchez-Tapia A, Saupe E, Thuiller W, Varela S, Warren D, Wieczorek J, Yates K, Zhu G, Zuquim G, Zurell D (2022) ENM2020: A Free Online Course and Set of Resources on Modeling Species’ Niches and Distributions. Biodiversity Informatics 17: 1-9. Link – pdf
  • Reeg J, Strigl L, Jeltsch F (2022) Agricultural buffer zone thresholds to safeguard functional bee diversity: Insights from a community modeling approach. Ecology & Evolution 12(3): e8748. link
  • Taylor A, Zotz G, Weigelt P, Cai L, Karger DN, König C, Kreft H (2022). Vascular epiphytes contribute disproportionately to global centres of plant diversity. Global Ecology and Biogeography 31: 62-74. link
  • Urban MC, Travis JMJ, Zurell D, Thompson PL, Synes NW, Scarpa A, Peres-Neto PR, Malchow AK, James PMA, Gravel D, De Meester L, Brown C, Bocedi G, Albert CH, Gonzalez A, Hendry AP (2022) Coding for Life: Designing a platform for projecting and protecting global biodiversity. BioScience 72: 91-104. link
  • Windirsch T, Grosse G, Ulrich M, Forbes BC, Göckede M, Wolter J, Macias-Fauria M, Olofsson J, Zimov N, Strauss J (2021): Large Herbivores Affecting Permafrost—Impacts of Grazing on Permafrost Soil Carbon Storage in Northeastern Siberia. Frontiers in Environmental Science 10: 893478. Link
  • Zurell D, Koenig C, Malchow AK, Kapitza S, Bocedi G, Travis JMJ, Fandos G (2022) Spatially explicit models for decision-making in animal conservation and restoration. Ecography 2022: e05787. Link – pdf

2021

  • Bleyhl B, Ghoddousi A, Askerov E, Bocedi G, Breitenmoser U, Manvelyan K, Palmer S, Soofi M, Weinberg P, Zazanashvili N, Shmunk V, Zurell D, Kümmerle T (2021) Reducing persecution is more effective for restoring large carnivores than restoring their prey. Ecological Applications 31: e02338.  link – pdf
  • Bocedi G, Palmer SCF, Malchow AK, Zurell D, Watts K, Travis JMJ (2021) RangeShifter 2.0: An extended and enhanced platform for modelling spatial eco-evolutionary dynamics and species’ responses to environmental changes. Ecography 44:1453-1462. link – pdf – GUI/manual/tutorials
  • Briscoe N, Zurell D, Elith J, König C, Fandos G, Malchow AK, Kery M, Schmid H, Guillera-Arroita G (2021) Can dynamic occupancy models improve predictions of species’ range dynamics? A test using Swiss birds. Global Change Biology 27: 4269-4282. link
  • Fandos G, Kéry M, Cano-Alonso LS, Carbonell I, Tellería JL (2021) Dynamic multistate occupancy modeling to evaluate population dynamics under a scenario of preferential sampling. Ecosphere 12: e03469.  link
  • König C, Weigelt P, Taylor A, Stein A, Dawson W, Essl F, Pergl J, Pysek P, van Kleunen M, Winter M, Chatelain C, Wieringa J, Krestoc P, Kreft H (2021) Source pools and disharmony of the world's island floras. Ecography 44: 44-55. link
  • König C, Wüest R, Graham C, Karger D, Sattler T, Zimmermann N, Zurell D (2021) Scale dependency of joint species distribution models challenges interpretation of biotic interactions. Journal of Biogeography 48: 1541-1551. link
  • Lenzner B, Magallon S, Dawson W, Kreft H, König C, Pergl J, Pysek P, Weigelt P, van Kleunen M, Winter M, Dullinger S, Essl F (2021) Role of diversification rates and evolutionary history as a driver of plant naturalization success. New Phytologist 229: 2998-3008. link
  • Malchow AK, Bocedi G, Palmer SCF, Travis JMJ, Zurell D (2021) RangeShiftR: an R package for individual-based simulation of spatial eco-evolutionary dynamics and species’ responses to environmental change. Ecography 4: 1443-1452. link – pdf – tutorials
  • Rotics S, Turjeman S, Kaatz M, Zurell D, Wikelski M, Sapir N, Fieder W, Eggers U, Resheff YS, Jeltsch F, Nathan R (2021) Early-life behavior predicts first-year survival in a long-distance avian migrant. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 288: 20202670. link
  • Rutkowski C, Lenz J, Lang A, Wolter J, Mothes S, Reemtsma T, Grosse G, Ulrich M, Fuchs M, Schirrmeister L, Fedorov A, Grigoriev M, Lantuit H, Strauss J (2021) Mercury in sediment core samples from deep Siberian ice-rich permafrost. Frontiers in Earth Science 9: 718153. link
  • Turjeman S, Eggers U, Rotics S, Fiedler W, Centeno-Cuadros A, Kaatz M, Zurell D, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R (2021) Estimating nest switching in free-ranging, wild birds: An assessment of the most common methodologies, illustrated in the white stork (Ciconia ciconia). Ibis 163: 1110-1119. link
  • Wetterich S, Rudaya N, Nazarova L, Syrykh L, Pavlova M, Palagushkina O, Kizyakov A, Wolter J, Kuznetsova T, Aksenov A, Stoof-Leichsenring KR, Schirrmeister L, Fritz M (2021): Paleo-Ecology of the Yedoma Ice Complex on Sobo-Sise Island (EasternLena Delta, Siberian Arctic). Frontiers in Earth Science 9: 681511. link
  • Wohlwend MR, Craven D, Weigelt P, Seebens H, Winter M, Kreft H, Zurell D, Cabral JS, Essl F, van Kleunen M, Pergl J, Pysek P, Knight TM (2021) Anthropogenic and environmental drivers shape diversity of naturalized plants across the Pacific. Diversity and Distributions 27: 1120-1133. link
  • Yang Q, Weigelt P, Fristoe TS, Zhang Z, Kreft H, Stein A, Seebens H, Dawson W, Essl F, König C, Lenzner B, Pergl J, Pouteau R, Pyšek P, Winter M, Ebel AL, Fuentes N, Giehl EHL, Kartesz J, Krestov P, Kukk T, Nishino M, Kupriyanov A, Villaseñor JL, Wieringa JJ, Zeddam A, Zykova E, van Kleunen M (2021) The global loss of floristic uniqueness. Nature Communications 12: 7290. link

2020

  • Becciu P, Rotics S, Horvitz N, Kaatz M, Fiedler W, Zurell D, Flack A, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Sapir N (2020) Causes and consequences of facultative sea crossing in a soaring migrant. Functional Ecology 34: 840-852. Link –  preprint bioRxiv 758102
  • Beckman N, Aslan C, Rogers H, Kogan O, Bronstein J, Bullock J, Hartig F, HilleRisLambers J, Zhou Y, Zurell D, Brodie J, Bruna E, Cantrell S, Decker R, Effiom E, Fricke E, Gurski K, Hastings A, Johnson J, Loiselle B, Miriti M, Neubert M, Pejchar L, Poulsen J, Pufal G, Razafindratsima O, Sandor M, Shea K, Schreiber S, Schupp E, Snell R, Strickland C, Zambrano J (2020) Advancing an interdisciplinary framework to study seed dispersal ecology. AoB Plants 12: plz048. link – pdf
  • Descombes P, Walthert L, Baltensweiler A, Meuli R, Karger D, Ginzler C, Zurell D, Zimmermann NE (2020) Spatial modelling of ecological indicator values improves predictions of plant distributions in complex landscapes. Ecography 43: 1448-1463. link – pdf.
  • Fandos G, Rotics S, Sapir N, Fiedler W, Kaatz M, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Zurell D (2020) Seasonal niche tracking of climate emerges at the population level in a migratory bird. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 287: 20201799. link – pdf
  • Romero-Muñoz A, Benítez-López A, Zurell D, Baumann M, Camino M, Decarre J, Giordano AJ, Gómez-Valencia B, Levers C, Noss AJ, Quiroga V, Thompson J, Torres R, Velilla M, Weiler A, Kümmerle T (2020) Increasing synergistic effects of habitat destruction and hunting on mammals over three decades in the Gran Chaco. Ecography 43: 954-966. Link – pdf.
  • Wüest R, Zimmermann NE, Zurell D, Alexander J, Fritz SA, Hof C, Kreft H, Normand S, Cabral JS, Szekely E, Thuiller W, Wikelski M, Karger DN (2020) Macroecology in the age of big data - where to go from here? Journal of Biogeography 47: 1-12. Link – pdf
  • Zurell D, Franklin J, König C, Bouchet PJ, Dormann CF, Elith J, Fandos G, Feng X, Guillera-Arroita G, Guisan A, Lahoz-Monfort JJ, Leitão PJ, Park DS, Peterson AT, Rapacciuolo G, Schmatz DR, Schröder B, Serra-Diaz JM, Thuiller W, Yates KL, Zimmermann NE, Merow C (2020) A standard protocol for describing species distribution models. Ecography 43: 1261-1277. Link – pdf – Appendix (case studies, ODMAP table) – Link to Shiny app
  • Zurell D, Zimmermann NE, Gross H, Baltensweiler A, Sattler T, Wüest R (2020) Testing species assemblage predictions from stacked and joint species distribution models. Journal of Biogeography 47: 101-113. Link – pdf – SuppInfo

Pre 2020

  • Aslan C, Beckman N, Rogers H, Bronstein J, Zurell D, Hartig F, Shea K, Pejchar L, Neubert M, Poulsen J, HilleRisLambers J, Miriti M, Loiselle B, Effiom E, Zambrano J, Schupp E, Pufal G, Johnson J, Bullock J, Brodie J, Bruna E, Cantrell S, Decker R, Fricke E, Gurski K, Hastings A, Kogan O, Powell J, Razafindratsima O, Sandor M, Schreiber S, Snell R, Strickland C, Zhou J (2019) Employing plant functional groups to advance seed dispersal ecology and conservation. AoB Plants 11: plz006. Link – pdf
  • Bouchet PJ, Peterson AT, Zurell D, Dormann CF, Schoeman D, Ross RE, Snelgrove P, Sequeira AMM, Whittingham MJ, Wang L, Rapacciuolo G, Oppel S, Mellin C, Lauria V, Krishnakumar PK, Jones AR, Heinänen S, Heikkinen RK, Gregr EJ, Fielding AH, Caley MJ, Barbosa AM, Bamford AJ, Parnell S, Wenger S, Yates KL (2019) Better model transfers require knowledge of mechanisms. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 34: 489-490. Link – preprint
  • Gallien L, Thornhill AH, Zurell D, Miller JT, Richardson DM (2019) Global predictors of alien plant establishment success: combining niche and trait proxies. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 286: 20182477. Link
  • Johnson J, Cantrell S, Cosner C, Hartig F, Hastings A, Rogers H, Schupp E, Shea K, Teller B, Yu X, Zurell D, Pufal G (2019) Rapid changes in seed dispersal traits may modify plant responses to global change. AoB Plants 11: plz020. DOI: 10.1093/aobpla/plz020. Link – pdf
  • Peterson AT, Anderson RP, Beger M, Bolliger J, Brotons L, Burridge CP, Cobos ME, Cuervo‐Robayo AP, Di Minin E, Diez J, Elith J, Embling CB, Escobar LE, Essl F, Feeley KJ, Hawkes L, Jimenez‐Garcia D, Jimenez L, Green DM, Knop E, Kuehn I, Lahoz‐Monfort JJ, Lira‐Noriega A, Lobo JM, Loyola R, Mac Nally R, Machado‐Stredel F, Martínez‐Meyer E, McCarthy M, Merow C, Nori J, Nuñez‐Penichet C, Osorio-Olvera L, Pysek P, Rejmánek M, Ricciardi A, Robertson M, Rojas Soto O, Romero‐Alvarez D, Roura‐Pascual N, Santini L, Schoeman DS, Schroeder B, Soberon J, Strubbe D, Thuiller W, Traveset A, Treml EA, Vaclavik T, Varela S, Watson JEM, Wiersma Y, Wintle B, Yanez‐Arenas C, Zurell D (2019) Open access solutions for biodiversity journals: do not replace one problem with another. Diversity and Distributions 25: 5-8. Link – pdf
  • Rogers H, Beckman N, Hartig F, Johnson J, Pufal G, Shea K, Zurell D, Bullock J, Loiselle B, Pejchar L, Razafindratsima O, Sandor M, Schupp E, Strickland C, Zambrano J (2019) The total dispersal kernel: a review and future directions. AoB Plants 11: plz042. Link – pdf
  • Gallien L, Zurell D & Zimmermann NE (2018) Frequency and intensity of facilitation reveal opposing patterns along a stress gradient. Ecology and Evolution 8: 2171-2181. Link – pdf
  • Rotics S, Kaatz M, Turjeman S, Zurell D, Wikelski M, Sapir N, Eggers U, Fiedler W, Jeltsch F, Nathan R (2018) Early arrival to breeding grounds: causes, costs and a trade-off with overwintering latitude. Journal of Animal Ecology 87: 16271638. Link – pdf
  • Schaefer M, Menz S, Jeltsch F, Zurell D (2018) sOAR: A tool for modelling optimal animal life-history strategies in cyclic environments. Ecography 41: 551-557. Link – pdf
  • Yates KL, Bouchet PJ, Caley MJ, Mengersen K, Randin CF, Parnell S, Fielding AH, Bamford, AJ, Ban S, Barbosa AM, Dormann CF, Elith J, Embling CB, Ervin GN, Fisher R, Gould S, Graf RF, Gregr EJ, Halpin P, Heikkinen RK, Heinänen S, Jones AR, Krishnakumar PK, Lauria V, Lozano-Montes H, Mannocci L, Mellin C, Mesgaran MB, Moreno-Amat E, Mormede S, Nowaczek E, Oppel S, Crespo GO, Peterson AT, Rappaciuolo G, Roberts JJ, Ross RE, Scales KL, Schoeman D, Snelgrove P, Sundblad G, Thuiller W, Torres LG, Verbruggen H, Wang L, Wenger S, Whittingham MJ, Zharikov Y, Zurell D & Sequeira AMM (2018) Outstanding challenges in the transferability of ecological models. Trends in Ecology & Evolution 33: 790-802. Link – pdf
  • Zurell D, Gallien L, Graham CH, Zimmermann NE (2018) Do long-distance migratory birds track their niche through seasons? Journal of Biogeography 45: 1459-1468. Editor’s choice.Link – preprint – SuppInfo – SuppData
  • Zurell D, Graham CH, Gallien L, Thuiller W, Zimmermann NE (2018) Long-distance migratory birds threatened by multiple independent risks from global change. Nature Climate Change 8: 992-996. link  – pdf – SuppInfo
  • Zurell D, Pollock LJ, Thuiller W (2018) Do joint species distribution models reliably detect interspecific interactions from co-occurrence data in homogenous environments? Ecography 41: 1812-1819. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
  • Zurell D, von Wehrden H, Rotics S, Kaatz M, Groß H, Schlag L, Schäfer M, Sapir N, Turjeman S, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Jeltsch F (2018) Home range size and resource use of breeding and non-breeding white storks along a land use gradient. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 6: 79. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
  • Rotics S, Turjeman S, Kaatz M, Resheff Y S, Zurell D, Sapir N, Eggers U, Fiedler W, Flack A, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R (2017) Wintering in Europe instead of Africa enhances juvenile survival in a long-distance migrant. Animal Behaviour 126: 79-88. Link – pdf
  • Zurell D (2017) Integrating demography, dispersal and interspecific interactions into bird distribution models. Journal of Avian Biology 48: 1505-1516. Link – pdf
  • Rotics S, Kaatz M, Resheff YS, Feldman S, Zurell D, Sapir N, Eggers U, Flack A, Fiedler W, Jeltsch F, Wikelski M, Nathan R (2016) The challenges of the first migration: movement and behavior of juvenile versus adult white storks with insights regarding juvenile mortality. Journal of Animal Ecology 85: 938-947. Highly Cited Paper by Essential Science IndicatorsLink – pdf
  • Zurell D, Thuiller W, Pagel J, Cabral JS, Münkemüller T, Gravel D, Dullinger S, Normand S, Schiffers KH, Moore KA & Zimmermann NE (2016) Benchmarking novel approaches for modelling species range dynamics. Global Change Biology 22: 2651-2264. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
  • Zurell D, Zimmermann NE, Sattler T, Nobis MP & Schröder B (2016) The effect of functional traits on the prediction accuracy of species richness models. Diversity and Distributions 22: 905-917. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
  • Zurell D, Eggers U, Kaatz M, Rotics S, Sapir N, Wikelski M, Nathan R, Jeltsch F (2015) Individual-based modelling of resource competition to predict density-dependent population dynamics: a case study with white storks. Oikos 124: 319-330. Link – pdf – SuppInfo
  • Bocedi G, Zurell D, Reineking B, Travis JMJ (2014) Mechanistic modelling of animal dispersal offers new insights into range expansion dynamics across fragmented landscapes. Ecography 37: 1240-1253. Link – pdf
  • Thuiller W, Münkemüller T, Schiffers KH, Georges D, Dullinger S, Eckhart VM, Edwards TC, Gravel D, Kunstler G, Merow C, Moore K, Piedallu C, Vissault S, Zimmermann NE, Zurell D, Schurr FM (2014) Does probability of occurrence relate to population dynamics? Ecography 37: 1155-1166. Link – pdf
  • Dormann CF, Elith J, Bacher S, Buchmann CM, Carl G, Carré G, García Marquéz JR, Gruber B, Lafourcade B, Leitão PJ, Münkemüller T, McClean C, Osborne P, Reineking B, Schröder B, Skidmore A, Zurell D, Lautenbach S (2013) Collinearity: a review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance. Ecography 36: 27-46. Editor’s choice. Highly Cited Paper by Essential Science IndicatorsLink – pdf
  • Jeltsch F, Blaum N, Brose U, Chipperfield JD, Clough Y, Farwig N, Geissler K, Graham CH, Grimm V, Hickler T, Huth A, May F, Meyer KM, Pagel J, Reineking B, Rillig MC, Shea K, Schurr FM, Schröder B, Tielbörger K, Weiss L, Wiegand K, Wiegand T, Wirth C, Zurell D (2013) How can we bring together empiricists and modellers in functional biodiversity research? Basic and Applied Ecology 14: 93-101. Link – pdf
  • Jeltsch F, Bonte D, Pe’er G, Reineking B, Leimgruber P, Balkenhol N, Schröder B, Buchmann CM, Mueller T, Blaum N, Zurell D, Böhning-Gaese K, Wiegand T, Eccard JA, Hofer H, Reeg J, Eggers U, Bauer S (2013) Integrating movement ecology with biodiversity research - exploring new avenues to address spatiotemporal biodiversity dynamics. Movement Ecology 1:6. Link – pdf
  • Gutt J, Zurell D, Bracegridle TJ, Cheung W, Clark MS, Convey P, Danis B, David B, De Broyer C, di Prisco G, Griffiths H, Laffont R, Peck L, Pierrat B, Riddle MJ, Saucede T, Turner J, Verde C, Wang Z, Grimm V (2012) Correlative and dynamic species distribution modelling for ecological predictions in the Antarctic: a cross-disciplinary concept. Polar Research 31: 11091. Link – pdf
  • Zurell D, Elith J, Schröder B (2012) Predicting to new environments: tools for visualising model behaviour and impacts on mapped distributions. Diversity and Distributions 18:628-634. Link – pdf
  • Zurell D, Grimm V, Rossmanith E, Zbinden N, Zimmermann NE, Schröder B (2012) Uncertainty in predictions of range dynamics: black grouse climbing the Swiss Alps. Ecography 35: 590-603. Link – pdf
  • Zurell D, Berger U, Cabral JS, Jeltsch F, Meynard CN, Münkemüller T, Nehrbass N, Pagel J, Reineking B, Schröder B, Grimm V (2010) The virtual ecologist approach: simulating data and observers. Oikos 119: 622-635. Link – pdf
  • Zurell D, Jeltsch F, Dormann CF, Schröder B (2009) Static species distribution models in dynamically changing systems: how good can predictions really be? Ecography 32: 733-744. Link – pdf