List of publications

2021 ISI Publications

Brill, F., Schlaffer, S., Martinis, S., Schröter, K., Kreibich, H. (2021): Extrapolating Satellite-Based Flood Masks by One-Class Classification—A Test Case in Houston, Remote Sensing: 13(11):2042,

KEMTER, M., FISCHER, M., LUNA, L.V., Schönfeldt, E., VOGEL, J., BANERJEE, A., Korup, O., Thonicke, K. (2021): Cascading hazards in the aftermath of australia's 2019/2020 black summer wildfires, Earth's Future, 9,

Mohor, G. S., Thieken, A. H., Korup, O. (2021): Residential flood loss estimated from Bayesian multilevel models, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci.: 21, 1599–1614,, 2021.

ROTTLER, E., Bronstert, A., Bürger, G., and Rakovec, O. (2021): Projected changes in Rhine River flood seasonality under global warming, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 2353–2371,, 2021.

ROTTLER, E., Vormoor, K., Francke, T., Warscher, M., Strasser, U., Bronstert, A. (2021): Elevation-dependent compensation effects in snowmelt in the Rhine River Basin upstream gauge Basel, Hydrology Research, nh2021092,

ROTTLER, E., Vormoor, K., Francke, T., Bronstert, A. (2021): Hydro Explorer: An interactive web app to investigate changes in runoff timing and runoff seasonality all over the world, River Res Applic., 1– 11,

VOGEL, J.J., Paton, E., Aich, V., Bronstert, A. (2021): Increasing compound warm spells and droughts in the Mediterranean Basin, Weather and Climate Extremes, 32, 100312,

VOGEL, J.J., Rivoire, P., Deidda, C., Rahimi, L., Sauter, C.A., Tschumi, E., van der Wiel, K., Zhang, T., Zscheischler, J. (2021): Identifying meteorological drivers of extreme impacts: an application to simulated crop yields, Earth System Dynamics, 12, 151–172,

VON KEYSERLINGK, J., de Hoop, M., Mayor, A.G., Dekker, S.C., Rietkerk, M., Foerster, S. (2021): Resilience of vegetation to drought: studying the effect of grazing in a Mediterranean rangeland using satellite time series, Remote Sensing of Environment, 225, 112270,

2021 other Publications

BERGHÄUSER, L., SCHOPPA, L., ULRICH, J., Dillenardt, L., Jurado, O.E., PASSOW, Ch., Mohor, G.S., Seleem, O., Petrow, Th., Thieken, A.H. (2021): Starkregen in Berlin: Meteorologische Ereignisrekonstruktion und Betroffenenbefragung, Bericht, 73 Seiten, Universitätsverlag der Universität Potsdam, doi:

Petrow, Th., Bronstert, A., Thieken, A.H. (Eds.) (2021): Book of Abstracts of the Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World, Universität Potsdam (Publisher), 78 pages.

SCHOPPA, L., Kreibich H., Sieg T., Vogel K. and Zöller G. (2021): Developing multivariable probabilistic flood loss models for companies [Paper presentation]. FLOODrisk 2020 - 4th European Conference on Flood Risk Management, Online-Conference.

Thieken, A.H., KEMTER, M., Vorogushyn, S., BERGHÄUSER, L., Sieg, T., Natho, S., Mohor, G.S., Petrow, Th., Merz, B., Bronstert, A. (2021): Extreme Hochwasser bleiben trotz integriertem Risikomanagement eine Herausforderung, 10 pages, in German.

2020 ISI Publications

Agarwal, A., Marwan, N., Maheswaran, R., Ozturk, U., Kurths, J., Merz, B. (2020): Optimal design of hydrometric station networks based on complex network analysis, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24, 2235–2251,

Ayzel, G., Scheffer, T., Heistermann, M. (2020): RainNet v1.0: a convolutional neural network for radar-based precipitation nowcasting, Geosci. Model Dev., 13, 2631–2644,

Brill, F., Passuni Pineda, S., Espichán Cuya, B., Kreibich, H. (2020): A data-mining approach towards damage modelling for El Niño events in Peru, Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 11:1, 1966-1990, DOI: 10.1080/19475705.2020.1818636

Bubeck, P., BERGHÄUSER, L., Hudson, P. and Thieken, A.H. (2020): Using Panel Data to Understand the Dynamics of Human Behavior in Response to Flooding. Risk Analysis,

Cheung, K. K. W., Ozturk, U. (2020): Synchronization of extreme rainfall during the Australian summer monsoon: Complex network perspectives, Chaos, 30, 063117.

Crisologo, I. and Heistermann, M. (2020): Using ground radar overlaps to verify the retrieval of calibration bias estimates from spaceborne platforms, Atmos. Meas. Tech.,

de Souza, A. C.T ., Ayzel, G., Heistermann, M. (2020): Quantifying the location error of precipitation nowcasts, Adv. Met.,, in print.

Deusdará-Leal, R.K., L.A. Cuartas, R. Zhang, G.S. Mohor, L.V. de Castro Carvalho, C.A. Nobre, E.M. Mendiondo, E. Broedel, M.E. Seluchi, R.C. dos Santos Alvalá (2020): Implications of the New Operational Rules for Cantareira Water System: Re-Reading the 2014-2016 Water Crisis. Journal of Water Resource and Protection, 12: 261-274,

DOKHT DOLATABADI, R., Golami, A., Ohrnberger, M. (2020): An inexact augmented Lagrangian method for nonlinear dispersion curve inversion using Dix-type global linear approximation. Geophysics, 85(5):1-38,

Guzmán D.A., Mohor G.S., Mendiondo E.M. (2020): Multi-Year Index-Based Insurance for Adapting Water Utility Companies to Hydrological Drought: Case Study of a Water Supply System of the Sao Paulo Metropolitan Region, Brazil. Water, 12 (11).

Hudson, P., Hagedoorn, L., Bubeck, P. (2020): Potential Linkages Between Social Capital, Flood Risk Perceptions, and Self-Efficacy. Int J Disaster Risk Sci. 11,251–262, .

Hudson, P., Pham, M., Hagedoorn, L., Thieken, A.H., Lasage, R., Bubeck P. (2020): Self-stated recovery from flooding: Empirical results from a survey in Central Vietnam, J Flood Risk Management, e12680,

Hudson, P., Thieken, A.H., Bubeck, P. (2020): The Challenges of Longitudinal Survey Datasets in the Natural Hazards Domain. – Journal of Risk Research, online first 9 June 2019,

Jurado, O.E., ULRICH, J., Scheibel, M., Rust, H.W. (2020): Evaluating the Performance of a Max-Stable Process for Estimating Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves, Water, 12, 3314.

KEMTER, M., Merz, B., Marwan, N., Vorogushyn, S., & Blöschl, G. (2020): Joint trends in flood magnitudes and spatial extents across Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(7).

Koҫ, G., Petrow, Th., Thieken, A.H. (2020): Analysis of the most severe flood events in Turkey (1960-2014): which triggering mechanisms and aggravating pathways can be identified? Water 12(6): 1562;

Kuhlicke, C., T. Masson, S. Kienzler, T. SIEG, A.H. Thieken, H. Kreibich (2020): Multiple flood experience and social resilience: findings from three surveys on households and companies exposed to the 2013 flood in Germany. Weather, Climate, and Society, 12(1): 63-88,

Kuhlicke, C., Seebauer, S., Hudson, P., Begg, C., Bubeck, P., Dittmer, C., Grothmann, T., Heidenreich, A., Kreibich, H., Lorenz, D., Masson, T., Reiter, J., Thaler, T., Thieken, A., Bamberg, S. (2020): The behavioral turn in flood risk management, its assumptions and potential implications. WIREs Water, 7(3): e1418,

LAUDAN, J., G. Zöller, A.H. Thieken (2020): Flash floods versus river floods – a comparison of psychological impacts and implications for precautionary behavior. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 999-1023;

Mohor, G.S., P. Hudson, A.H. Thieken (2020): A comparison of factors driving flood losses in households affected by different flood types. – Water Resources Research, 54(6): e2019WR025943, p. 1-20,

Molinari, D., Scorzini, A.R., Arrighi, Ch., Carisi, F., Castelli, F., Domeneghetti, A., Gallazzi, A., Galliani, M., Grelot, F., Kellermann, P., Kreibich, H., Mohor, G.S., Mosimann, M., Natho, S., Richert, C., Schroeter, K., Thieken, A.H., Zischg, A.P., Ballio, F. (2020): Are flood damage models converging to “reality”? Lessons learnt from a blind test. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20, 2997–3017.

Mtilatila, L., Bronstert, A., Shrestha, P.K., Kadewere, P., Vormoor, K. (2020): Susceptibility of water resources and hydropower production to climate change in the tropics: The case of Lake Malawi and Shire River Basins, SE-Africa, Hydrology, 7, 54; .

Mtilatila, L., Bronstert, A., Bürger, G., Vormoor, K. (2020): Meteorological and hydrological drought assessment in Lake Malawi and Shire River basins (1970–2013), Hydrological Sciences Journal, 65(16): 2750-2764,  

Natho, S., Tschikof, M., Bondar-Kunze, E., Hein, T. (2020): Modeling the effect of enhanced lateral connectivity on nutrient retention capacity in large river floodplains: How much connected floodplain do we need? Frontiers in Environmental Science, online first on 18 June 2020,

Ozturk, U., Pittore, M., Behling, R., Roessner, S., Andreani, L., Korup, O. (2020): How robust are landslide susceptibility estimates?, Landslides,

Paton, E., VOGEL, J., Kluge, B., Nehls, T. (2020): Ausmaß, Trend und Extrema von Dürren im urbanen Raum, Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung, accepted.

Powali, D., SHARMA, S., Mandal, R., Mitra, S. (2020): A reappraisal of the 2005 Kashmir (Mw 7.6) earthquake and its aftershocks: Seismotectonics of NW Himalaya, Tectonophysics, 228501.

ROTTLER, E., Francke, T., Bürger, G., Bronstert, A. (2020): Long-term changes in Central European river discharge 1869 - 2016: Impact of changing snow covers, reservoir constructions and an intensified hydrological cycle. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 24, 1721–1740.

SCHOPPA, L., Disse, M., & Bachmair, S. (2020): Evaluating the Performance of Random Forest for Large-Scale Flood Discharge Simulation. Journal of Hydrology, 125531.

SCHOPPA, L., Sieg, T., Vogel, K., Zöller, G., Kreibich, H. (2020): Probabilistic Flood Loss Models for Companies. Water Resources Research, 56, 9, e2020WR027649.

SHARMA, S., Hainzl, S., Zöeller, G., & Holschneider, M. (2020): Is Coulomb stress the best choice for aftershock forecasting? Journal of Geophysical Research,Solid Earth, 125, e2020JB019553.

Symmank L., Natho S., Scholz M., Schröder U., Raupach K., Schulz-Zunkel, Ch. (2020): The impact of bioengineering techniques for riverbank protection on ecosystem services of riparian zones, Ecological Engineering, 158:106040,

ULRICH, J., Jurado, O.E., PETER, M., Scheibel, M., Rust, H.W. (2020): Estimating IDF Curves Consistently over Durations with Spatial Covariates, Water, 12, 3119.

VEH, G., Korup, O., Walz, A. (2020): Hazard from Himalayan glacier lake outburst floods. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,

Wolf, S., Pham, M. Matthews, N., Bubeck, P. (2020): Understanding the Implementation Gap: Policy-makers’ Perceptions of Ecosystem-based Adaptation in Central Vietnam. Climate and Development,

Zebisch, M., Schneiderbauer, S., Fritzsche, K., Bubeck, P., Kienberger, S., Kahlenborn, W., Schwan, S., Below, T. (2020): The Vulnerability Sourcebook and climate impact chains - a standardized framework for a climate vulnerability and risk assessment, International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, accepted.

Ziebarth, M. J., von Specht, S., Heidbach, O., Cotton, F., Anderson, J. G. (2020): Applying conservation of energy to estimate earthquake frequencies from strain rates and stresses, Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 125, e2020JB020186.

2020 other Publications

Bronstert, A., Crisologo, I., Heistermann, M., Ozturk, U.,VOGEL, K., Wendi, D. (2020): Flash-Floods: More often, more severe, more damaging? An Analysis of Hydro-Geo-Environmental Conditions and Anthropogenic Impacts. In: Leal, W.F. et al. (eds) 2020: Climate Change, Hazards and Adaptation Options. Handling the Impacts of a Changing Climate. Springer Nature Switzerland, Book Series Climate Change Management, pp 225-244.

Bubeck, P., Oswald, S.E., Thieken, A.H. (2020): Historische Gärten mit neuen Aufgaben. In: Stiftung Preußische Schlösser und Gärten Berlin-Brandenburg (Hrsg.): Historische Gärten und Gesellschaft: Kultur – Natur – Verantwortung. Schnell & Steiner-Verlag, S. 210-214.

Bubeck, P., Kienzler, S., Dillenardt, L., Mohor, G.S., Thieken, A.H.,  Sauer, A., Neubert, M., Blazejczak, J., Edler, D. (2020): Bewertung klimawandelgebundener Risiken: Schadenspotenziale und ökonomische Wirkung von Klimawandel und Anpassungsmaßnahmen. Abschlussbericht zum Vorhaben „Behördenkooperation Klimawandel und -anpassung“, Teil 1, Climate Change, 29/2020, Dessau, 238 S., (Online).


AGARWAL, A., Caesar, L., Marwan, N., Maheswaran, R., Merz , B., Kurths, J. (2019): Network-based identification and characterization of teleconnections on different scales. Scientific Reports: 9: 8808,

AGARWAL, A., Marwan, N., Ozturk, U., Rathinasamy, M. (2019): Unfolding Community Structure in Rainfall Network of Germany Using Complex Network-Based Approach: Climate and Environment. pp 179-193. In: Water Resources and Environmental Engineering II. Springer Verlag.,

Ayzel, G., Heistermann, M., Winterrath, T. (2019): Optical flow models as an open benchmark for radar-based precipitation nowcasting (rainymotion v0.1), Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 1387-1402

Bronstert, A., Crisologo, I., Heistermann, M.,OZTURK, U., VOGEL, K., WENDI, D. (2019): Flash-Floods: More often, More severe, More damaging? An Analysis of Hydro-Geo-Environmental Conditions and Anthropogenic Impacts, accepted for publication in: Springer Book Series "Climate Change Management”, Symposium on "Climate Change and Natural Hazards", University of Padova, Italy, 25-26/02/2019.

Bubeck, P., Dillenardt, L., Alfieri, L., Feyen, L., Thieken, A.H., Kellermann, P. (2019): Global warming to increase flood risk on European railways, Climatic Change, 155: 19-36.

Bubeck, P., Hudson, P., Pham, M., Hagedoorn, L., Le, T., Brander, L., Tran, T., Haer, T., Wolf, S., Ickert, J., Dillenardt, L., Lasage, R. (2019): Strong roots, strong women: Women and ecosys-tem-based adaptation to flood risk in Central Vietnam. DKKV-Schriftenreihe 61, Bonn. (, last access: 22 March 2019)

Chaudhary, S., AGARWAL, A., Nakamura, T. (2019): Rainfall Projection in Yamuna River Basin, India, Using Statistical Downscaling. In Water Resources and Environmental Engineering II (pp. 15-23). Springer, Singapore.

Didovets⁠⁠, I., Krysanova, V., Bürger, G., Snizhko, S., Balabukh, V., Bronstert, A. (2019): Climate change impact on regional floods in the Carpathian region, Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 22, 100590.

Ekhtiari, N., AGARWAL, A., Marwan, N., Donner, R.V. (2019): Disentangling the multi-scale effects of sea-surface temperatures on global precipitation: A coupled networks approach. Chaos 29, 063116, 

Fortesa, J., García-Comendador, J., Calsamiglia, A., López-Tarazón, J.A., Latron, J., Alorda, B., Estrany, J. (2019): Comparison of stage/discharge rating curves derived from different recording systems: consequences for streamflow data and water management in a Mediterranean island, Science of the Total Environment, 665: 968-981,

Hudson, P., Pham M., Bubeck, P. (2019): An evaluation and monetary assessment of the impact of flooding on subjective well-being across genders in Vietnam, Climate and Development, 11(7): 623-637,

Hudson, P., Thieken, A.H., Bubeck, P. (2019): The Challenges of Longitudinal Survey Datasets in the Natural Hazards Domain, Journal of Risk Research,

Köhn-Reich, L., Bürger, G. (2019): Dynamical prediction of Indian monsoon: Past and present skill, Int J Climatol, 1-8,

Kurths, J., AGARWAL, A., Shukla, R., Marwan, N., Rathinasamy, M., Caesar, L., Krishnan, R., and Merz, B. (2019): Unravelling the spatial diversity of Indian precipitation teleconnections via a non-linear multi-scale approach, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 26: 251–266,

López-Tarazón, J.A., Bronstert, A., Thieken, A.H., Petrow, Th. (2019): The effects of global change on floods, fluvial geomorphology and related hazards in mountainous rivers (Preface), Science of the Total Environment, 669, 7-10.

Meng, J., Fan, J., Ludescher, J., AGARWAL, A., Chen, X., Bunde, A., Kurths, J., and Schellnhuber, H.J. (2019): Complexity based approach for El Niño magnitude forecasting before the spring predictability barrier (PNAS).

Otto, A., Kellermann, P., Thieken,A.H., Mánez-Costa, M., Carmona, M., Bubeck, P. (2019): Risk reduction partnerships for assessing and enhancing resilience of railway transport infrastructure in an Alpine environment, International Journal for Disaster Risk Reduction, 33: 385-397.

OZTURK U., Malik N., Cheung K., Marwan, N., Kurths J. (2019): A network-based comparative study of extreme tropical and frontal storm rainfall over Japan, Climate Dynamics,

Peña-Angulo, D., Nadal-Romero, E., González-Hidalgo, J.C., Albaladejo, J., Andreu, V., Bagarello, V., Barhi, H., Batalla, R.J., Bernal, S., Bienes, R., Campo, J., Campo-Bescós, M.A., Canatario, A., Cantón, Y., Casali, J., Castillo, V., Cerdà, A., Cheggour, A., Cid, P., Cortesi, N., Desir, G., Díaz-Pereira, E., Espigares, T. Estrany, J., Fernández-Raga, M., Ferreira, C.S.S., Ferro, V., Gallart, F., Giménez, R., Gimeno, E., Gómez, J.A., Gómez-Gutiérrez, A., Gómez-Macpherson, H., González-Pelayo, O., Hueso-González, P., Kairis, O., Karatzas, G.P., Klotz, S., Kosmas, C., Lana-Renault, N., Lasanta, T., Latron, J., Lázaro, R., Le Bissonnais, Y., Le Bouteiller, C., Licciardello, F., López-Tarazón, J.A., Lucía, A., Marín, C., Marqués, M.J., Martínez-Fernández, J., Martínez-Mena, M., Martínez-Murillo, J.F., Mateos, L., Mathys, N., Merino-Martín, L., Moreno-de las Heras, M., Moustakas, N., Nicolau, J.M., Novara, A., Pampalone, V., Raclot, D., Rodríguez-Blanco, M.L., Rodrigo-Comino, J., Romero-Díaz, J.A., Roose, E., Rubio, J.L., Ruiz-Sinoga, J.D., Schnabel, S., Senciales-González, J.M., Simonneaux, V., Solé-Benet, A., Taguas, E.V., Taboada-Castro, M.M., Taboada-Castro, M.T., Todisco, F., Úbeda, X., Varouchakis, E.A., Vericat, D., Wittenberg, L., Zabaleta, A., Zorn, M. (2019): Spatial variability of the relationships of runoff and sediment yield with weather types throughout the Mediterranean basin, Journal of Hydrology, 571: 390-405.

Riese, M., Thieken, A.H., Müggenburg, E. Bubeck, P. (2019): Synergien und Hemmnisse einer möglichen Integration von Starkregen in die Bearbeitung der europäischen Hochwasserrisikomanagementrichtlinie, Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung, 63(4): 194-203.

Rözer, V., Kreibich, H., Schröter, K., Müller, Sairam, N., Doss-Gollin, J., Lall, U., Merz, B. (2019): Probabilistic models significantly reduce uncertainty in Hurricane Harvey pluvial flood loss estimates, 7, 384–394.

ROTTLER, E., C. Kormann, Francke, T., Bronstert, A. (2019):Elevation-dependent warming in the Swiss Alps 1981–2017: Features, forcings and feedbacks, Int J Climatol, 1–13,

Saltikoff, E., Friedrich, K., Soderholm, J., Lengfeld, K., Nelson, B., Becker, A., Hollmann, R., Urban, B., Heistermann, M., Tassone, C. (2018): An overview of using weather radar for climatological studies: Successes, challenges and potential., Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, published online May 2019,

SIEG, T., Schinko T., VOGEL, K., Mechler R., Merz B., Kreibich H. (2019): Integrated Assessment of short-term direct and indirect economic Flood Impacts including Uncertainty Quantification, PLOS One, 14(4), e0212932.

SIEG, T., VOGEL, K., Merz, B., Kreibich, H. (2019): Seamless Estimation of Hydrometeo-rological Risk Across Spatial Scales. Earth‘s Future, 7(4): 574-581,

Umweltbundesamt (2019): Vorsorge gegen Starkregenereignisse und Maßnahmen zur wassersensiblen Stadtentwicklung – Analyse des Standes der Starkregenvorsorge in Deutschland und Ableitung zukünftigen Handlungsbedarfs. Umweltbundesamt TEXTE 55/2019, Dessau, mit Beiträgen von Bubeck, P.

VEH, G., Korup, O., von SPECHT, S., Roessner, S., Walz, A. (2019): Unchanged frequency of moraine-dammed glacial lake outburst floods in the Himalaya, Nature Climate Change, 9: 379–383,

von SPECHT, S., OZTURK, U., VEH, G., Cotton, F., Korup, O. (2019): Effects of finite source rupture on landslide triggering: The 2016 /M_W / 7.1 Kumamoto earthquake, Solid Earth, 10, 463-486,

WENDI, D., Merz, B., & Marwan, N. (2019). Assessing hydrograph similarity and rare runoff dynamics by cross recurrence plots. Water Resources Research, 55, 4704– 4726.



AGARWAL, A., Maheswaran, R., Marwan, N., Caesar, L., Kurths, J. (2018): Wavelet-based multiscale similarity measure for complex networks. The European Physical Journal B, 91: 296,

AGARWAL, A., Marwan, N., Maheswaran, R., Merz, B., Kurths, J. (2018): Quantifying the roles of single stations within homogeneous regions using complex network analysis, Journal of Hydrology,

AGARWAL, A., Marwan, N., Rathinasamy, M., OZTURK, U., Merz, B., Kurths, J. (2018): Optimal Design of Hydrometric Station Networks Based on Complex Network Analysis, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.,, in press.

Bronstert, A., AGARWAL, A., BOESSENKOOL, B., Crisologo, I., FISCHER, M., Heistermann, M., Köhn-Reich, L., López-Tarazón, J.A., MORAN, T., OZTURK, U., Reinhardt-Imjela, C. (2018): Forensic hydro-meteorological analysis of an extreme flash flood: The 2016-05-29 event in Braunsbach, SW Germany, Science of the Total Environment, 630: 977-991.

Bubeck, P., Botzen, W., LAUDAN, J., Aerts, J., Thieken, A.H. (2018): Insights into flood-coping appraisals of Protection Motivation Theory: Empirical evidence from Germany and France, Risk Analysis, 38(6): 1239-1257,

Bubeck, P., Thieken, A. (2018): What helps people recover from floods? Insights from a survey among flood-affected residents in Germany. Regional Environmental Change. 18. 287-296,

Calsamiglia, A., García-Comendador, J., Fortesa, J., López-Tarazón, J.A., Crema, S., Cavalli, M., Calvo-Cases, A., Estrany, J. (2018): Effects of agricultural drainage systems on sediment connectivity in a small Mediterranean lowland catchment, Geomorphology, 318: 162-171.

Crisologo, I., Warren, R. A., Mühlbauer, K., Heistermann, M. (2018): Enhancing the consistency of spaceborne and ground-based radar comparisons by using beam blockage fraction as a quality filter, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 11, 5223-5236,

Di Baldassarre, G., Kreibich, H., Vorogushyn, S., Aerts, J.C.J.H., Arnbjerg-Nielsen, K., Barendrecht, M., Bates, P., Borga, M., Botzen, W.J.W., Bubeck, P., de Marchi, B., Llasat, C., Mazzoleni, M., Mondino, E., Mard, J., Petrucci, O., Scobolig, A., Viglione, A., Ward, P. (2018): An interdisciplinary research agenda to explore the unintended consequences of structural flood protection, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22: 5629–5637.

FIEDLER, B., Hainzl, S., Zöller, G., Holschneider, M. (2018a): Detection of Gutenberg–Richter b‐Value Changes in Earthquake Time Series, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108 (5A): 2778–2787,

FIEDLER, B., Zöller, G., Holschneider, M., Hainzl, S. (2018b): Multiple change-point detection in spatio-temporal seismicity data, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(3A): 1147-1159,

FISCHER, M., Rust, H.W., Ulbrich, U. (2018): Seasonal Cycle in German Daily Precipitation Extremes, MetZet, 27(1): 3-13,

Francke, T., Baroni, G., Brosinsky, A., Foerster, S., López-Tarazón, J.A., Sommerer, E., Bronstert, A. (2018): What did really improve our model? A multi-aspect analysis framework applied to a mesoscale water and sediment model,  Water Resources Research, 54,

Francke, T., Foerster, S., Brosinsky, A., Sommerer, E:, López-Tarazón, JA., Güntner, A., Batalla, RJ, Bronstert, A. (2018): Water and sediment fluxes in Mediterranean mountainous regions: Comprehensive dataset for hydro-sedimentological analyses and modelling in a mesoscale catchment (River Isábena, NE Spain), Earth System Science Data, 10: 1063-1075,

Graf, L., Moreno-de-las-Heras, M., Ruiz, M., Calsamiglia, A., García-Comendador, J., Fortesa, J., López-Tarazón, J.A., Estrany, J. (2018): Accuracy Assessment of digital terrain model dataset sources for hydrogeomorphological modelling in small Mediterranean catchments, Remote sensing, 10(12): 2014,

Kim, D., Sun, Y., WENDI, D., Jiang, Z., Liong, S., Gourbesville, P. (2018): Flood Modelling Framework for Kuching City, Malaysia: Overcoming the Lack of Data, Advances in Hydroinformatics, 559-568,

Lobanova, A., Liersch, S., Nunes, J.P., Didovets, I., Stagl, J., Huang, S., Koch, H., Rivas López, M. del R., Maule, C.F., Hattermann, F., Krysanova, V., (2018): Hydrological impacts of moderate and high-end climate change across European river basins. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 18, 15–30. doi:10.1016/j.ejrh.2018.05.003

Natho, S., Thieken, A.H. (2018): Implementation and adaptation of a macro-scale method to assess and monitor direct economic losses caused by natural hazards. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 28: 191-205, DOI:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.03.008.

OZTURK U., Marwan N., Korup O., Saito H., AGARWAL A., Grossman M. J., Zaiki M., Kurths J. (2018a): Complex networks for tracking extreme rainfall during typhoons, Chaos, 28(7): 075301,

OZTURK, U., Marwan, N., von SPECHT, S., Korup, O., & Jensen, J. (2018b): A new centennial sea-level record for Antalya, eastern Mediterranean, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 123: 4503–4517,

OZTURK U., WENDI D., Crisologo I., Riemer A., AGARWAL A., VOGEL K., López-Tarazón A. J., Korup O. (2018c): Rare flash floods and debris flows in southern Germany, Science of the Total Environment, 626: 941-952,

Petrow, Th., Bronstert, A., Thieken, A.H., VOGEL, K. (Eds.) (2018): Book of Abstracts of the International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World, Universität Potsdam (Publisher), 118 pages,  urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-416613

Piña-Valdés, J., Socquet, A., Cotton, F., von SPECHT, S. (2018): Spatio-temporal variations of ground motion in northern Chile before and after the 2014 Mw 8.1 Iquique megathrust event, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108(2): 801814,

Rözer, V., Kreibich, H., Schröter, K., Müller, Sairam, N., Doss-Gollin, J., Lall, U., Merz, B. (2019): Probabilistic models significantly reduce uncertainty in Hurricane Harvey pluvial flood loss estimates, 7, 384–394.

SCHMIDT, L. K., Bochow, M., Oswald, S.E. (2018): Multi-temporal surveys for microplastic particles enabled by a novel and fast application of SWIR imaging spectroscopy – Study of an urban watercourse traversing the city of Berlin, Germany, Environmental Pollution, 239: 579-589,

Shukla, R., AGARWAL, A., Sachdeva, K., Kurths, J., Joshi, P.K. (2018): Climate change perception: an analysis of climate change and risk perceptions among farmer types of Indian Western Himalayas, Climatic Change,

Stolle, A., Schwanghart, W., Andermann, Ch., Bernhardt , A., Fort, M., Jansen, J.D., Wittmann, H., Merchel, S., Rugel , G., Adhikari, B.R., Korup, O. (2018): Protracted river response to medieval earthquakes. Earth surface processes and landforms,

Sultana, Z., SIEG, T., Kellermann, P., Müller, M., Kreibich, H. (2018): Assessment of Business Interruption of Flood-Affected Companies Using Random Forests, Water, 10(8): 1049,

Uber, M., Vandervaere, J.-P., Zin, I., Braud, I., Heistermann, M., Legoût, C., Molinié, G., Nord, G. (2018): How does initial soil moisture influence the hydrological response? A case study from southern France, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22: 6127–6146,

VEH, G., Korup, O., Roessner, S., Walz. A. (2018): Detecting Himalayan Glacial Lake Outburst Floods from Landsat time series, Remote Sensing of Environment, 207(15): 84-97,

VOGEL, K., Weise, L., Schröter, K., Thieken, A.H. (2018): Identifying Driving Factors in Flood Damaging Processes Using Graphical Models, Water Resources Research, 54: 8864-8889,

von SPECHT, S., Heidbach, O., Cotton, F., Zang, A. (2018): Uncertainty reduction of stress tensor inversion with data-driven catalogue selection, Geophysical Journal International, 214(3): 2250-2263,

Vormoor, K., Heistermann, M., Bronstert, A., Lawrence, D. (2018): Hydrological model parameter (in)stability: ‘crash testing’ the HBV model under contrasting flood seasonality conditions, Hydrological Sciences Journal, 63(7): 991-1007,

WENDI, D., Marwan, N. (2018): Extended recurrence plot and quantification for noisy continuous dynamical systems, Chaos, 28: 085722,  

WENDI, D., Marwan, N., Merz, B.(2018): In Search of Determinism-Sensitive Region to Avoid Artefacts in Recurrence Plots, International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos, 28(1): 1850007,


AGARWAL, A., Marwan, N., Rathinasamy, M., Merz, B., Kurths, J. (2017): Multi-scale event synchronization analysis for unravelling climate processes: A wavelet-based approach, Nonlinear Process. Geophys., 24: 599-611,

BOESSENKOOL, B., Bürger, G., Heistermann, M. (2017): Effects of sample size on estimation of rainfall extremes at high temperatures,

Bubeck, P., Kreibich, K, Penning-Rowsell, E., Botzen, W.J.W., de Moel, H., Klijn, F. (2017): Explaining differences in flood management approaches in Europe and the USA – A comparative analysis, Journal of Flood Risk Management, 10(4): 436-445.

Bubeck, P., Otto, A., Weichselgartner, J. (2017): Societal Impacts of Flood Hazards, Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Natural Hazard Science.

Bronstert, A., AGARWAL, A., BOESSENKOOL, B., FISCHER, M., Heistermann, M., Köhn-Reich, L., MORAN T., WENDI, D. (2017): Die Sturzflut von Braunsbach am 29. Mai 2016 – Entstehung, Ablauf und Schäden eines „Jahrhundertereignisses“. Teil 1: Meteorologische und hydrologische Analyse, Hydrologie & Wasserbewirtschaftung, 61(3): 150-162,,3_1.

Didovets, I., Lobanova, A.,Bronstert, A., Snizhko, S., Fox Maule, C., A.,Krysanova, V. (2017): Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in Three Representative Ukrainian Catchments Using Eco-Hydrological Modelling. Water 9(3), 204.

Ehlert, T. and Natho, S. (2017): Auenrenaturierung in Deutschland - Analyse zum Stand der Umsetzung einer bundesweiten Datenbank. Auenmagazin 12: 4-9.

FISCHER, M., Rust, H.W., Ulbrich, U. (2017): A spatial and seasonal climatology of extreme precipitation return-levels; A case study, Spatial Statistics,

Kneis, D., Abon, C., Bronstert, A., Heistermann, M. (2017): Verification of short-term runoff forecasts for a small Philippine basin (Marikina), Hydrological Science Journal, 62(2): 205-216,

LAUDAN, J., Rözer, V., SIEG, T., VOGEL, K., Thieken, A.H. (2017): Damage assessment in Braunsbach 2016: data collection and analysis for an improved understanding of damaging processes during flash floods, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17: 2163–2179,

Lobera, G., Andrés-Doménech, I., López-Tarazón, J.A., Millán-Romero, P., Vallés, F., Vericat, D., Batalla, R.J. (2017): Bed disturbance below dams: observations from two Mediterranean rivers, Land Degradation and Development, 28: 2493-2512,

Lobera, G., Muñoz, I., López-Tarazón, J.A., Vericat, D., Batalla, R.J. (2017): Effects of flow regulation on river bed dynamics and invertebrate communities in a Mediterranean river, Hydrobiologia, 784: 283-304.      

López-Tarazón, J.A., Byrne, P., van der Perk, M.  (2017): Transfer of sediments and contaminants in catchments and rivers, Preface to the special Issue, Journal of Soils and Sediments, 17: 2577-2581,

López-Tarazón, J.A., Estrany, J. (2017): Exploring suspended sediment delivery dynamics of two Mediterranean nested catchments, Hydrological Processes, 31: 698-715,   

Rathinasamy, M., AGARWAL, A., Parmar, V., Khosa, R., Bairwa, A. (2017): Partial wavelet coherence analysis for understanding the standalone relationship between Indian Precipitation and Teleconnection patterns, arXiv preprint arXiv:1702.06568.

Siddharth Chaudhary , A. AGARWAL and T. Nakamura. (2017): Rainfall Projection in Yamuna River Basin, India Using Statistical Downscaling. Accepted in Springer book chapter. {Book Chapter}

SIEG, T., VOGEL, K., Merz, B., Kreibich, H. (2017): Tree-based flood damage modelling of companies: Damage processes and model performance, Water Resources Research, 53: 1-19,

Socquet, A., Valdez, J. P., Jara, J., Cotton, F., Walpersdorf, A., Cotte, N., von SPECHT, S., Ortega-Culaciati, F., Carrizo, D., Norabuena, E. (2017): An 8 month slow slip event triggers progressive nucleation of the 2014 Chile megathrust. - Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 9, p. 4046-4053. doi:

Spekkers, M., Rözer, V.,Thieken, A., ten Veldhuis, M.-C., andKreibich, H. (2017): A comparative survey of the impacts of extreme rainfall in two international case studies, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1337–1355.

Venohr, M., Natho S., Hofmann, J. (2017): Water quality management: modeling of nutrient emissions with MONERIS in Sustainable Water and Agricultural Land Use in the Guanting Basin under Limited Water Resources (Konzepte für die nachhaltige Entwicklung einer Flusslandschaft), (Hrsg.) Wechsung, F., Kaden, S. Venohr, M., Meisel, J. & Z. Xu, 225-271. Schweizerbart'sche, E. pp 317. ISBN-13: 978-3510653256.

VOGEL, K. (2017): Learning Markov Blankets - Extending on a MAP Criterion for Bayesian Network Learning. In Safety, Reliability, Risk, Resilience and Sustainability of Structures and Infrastructure, 12th International Conference on Structural Safety & Reliability, Vienna, Austria, 6-10 August 2017, 2868-2877. ©2017 TU-Verlag Vienna, ISBN 978-3-903024-28-1

VOGEL, K., OZTURK, U., Riemer, A., LAUDAN, J., SIEG, T., WENDI, D., AGARWAL, A., Rözer, V., Korup, O., Thieken, A.H. (2017a): Die Sturzflut von Braunsbach am 29. Mai 2016 - Entstehung, Ablauf und Schäden eines “Jahrhundertereignisses”. Teil 2: Geomorphologische Prozesse und Schadensanalyse, Hydrologie & Wasserbewirtschaftung, 61(3): 163-175,,3_2.

VOGEL, K., LAUDAN, J., SIEG, T., Rözer, V., Winter, B., Thieken, A.H. (2017b): Data collection for a damage assessment after the flash flood in Braunsbach (Germany) in May 2016. GFZ Data Services.

WENDI, D., Liong, S.-Y., Sun, Y., Doan, D.C. (2017): An innovative approach to improve SRTM DEM using multispectral imagery and artificial neural network, Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 8: 691–702,

Zang, A., O. Stephansson, L. Stenberg, K. Plenkers, S. SPECHT, C. Milkereit, E. Schill, G. Kwiatek, G. Dresen, G. Zimmermann, T. Dahm, M. Weber (2017): Hydraulic fracture monitoring in hard rock at 410 m depth with an advanced fluid-injection protocol and extensive sensor array, Geophys J Int:  208 (2): 790-813,


Abon, C. C., Kneis, D., Crisologo, I., Bronstert, A., David, C. P. C., Heistermann, M. (2016): Evaluating the potential of radar-based rainfall estimates for stream flow and flood simulation in the Philippines, Geomat. Nat. Haz. Risk, 7(4): 1390-1405.

AGARWAL, A.,BOESSENKOOL, B., FISCHER, M., Hahn, I., Köhn,L., LAUDAN, L., MORAN, T., OZTURK, U., Riemer, A., Rözer,V., SIEG, T., VOGEL, K., WENDI, D., Bronstert, A., Thieken, A.H. (2016): Die Sturzflut in Braunsbach, Mai 2016 - Eine Bestandsaufnahme und Ereignisbeschreibung. Taskforce im Rahmen des DFG-Graduiertenkollegs Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World, Universität Potsdam (Publisher), 20 pages, urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-394881.

AGARWAL, A., R. Maheswaran, J. Kurths and R. Khosa (2016): Wavelet Spectrum and Self-Organizing Maps-Based Approach for Hydrologic Regionalization - a Case Study in the Western Unites States. Water Resources Management, 30(12): 4399–4413, DOI 10.1007/s11269-016-1428-1

AGARWAL, A., Maheswaran, R. Sehgal, V., Khosa, R., Sivakumar, B., Bernhofer, C. (2016): Hydrologic regionalization using wavelet-based multiscale entropy method, Journal of Hydrology, 538: 22-32.

Bronstert, A., Bormann, H., Bürger, G., Haberlandt, U., Hattermann, F., Heistermann, M., Huang, S., Kolokotronis, V., Kundzewicz, Z., Menzel, L., Meon, G., Merz, B., Meuser, A., Paton, E.N., Petrow, Th. (2016): Hochwasser und Sturzfluten an Flüssen in Deutschland. In: Brasseur, G.P., Jacob, D., Schuck-Zöller, S. (Eds.): Klimawandel in Deutschland Entwicklung, Folgen, Risiken und Perspektiven, Springer Verlag, ISBN: 978-3-662-50396-6 (Print) 978-3-662-50397-3 (Online), S. 87-101.

Bubeck, P., Klimmer, L., Albrecht, J. (2016): Klimaanpassung in der rechtlichen Rahmensetzung des Bundes und Auswirkungen auf die Praxis im Raumordnungs-, Städtebau- und Wasserrecht, Natur und Recht, 38: 297-307.

Bubeck, P., Aerts, J.C.J.H., de Moel, H., Kreibich, H. (2016): Preface: Flood-risk analysis and integrated management, Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 16: 1005-1010.

Chinh, D.T., Bubeck, P., Dung, N.V., Kreibich, H. (2016): The 2011 flood event in the Mekong Delta: preparedness, response, damage and recovery of private households and small businesses, Disasters, 40(4):753-78.

Estrany, J., López-Tarazón, J.A., Smith, H.G. (2016): Wildfire effects on suspended sediment delivery quantified using fallout radionuclide tracers in a Mediterranean catchment, Land Degradation and Development, 27: 1501-1512.

Kellermann, P., Bubeck, P., Kundela, G., Dosio, A., Thieken, A.H. (2016): Frequency analysis of critical meteorological conditions in a changing climate – assessing future implications for railway transportation in Austria, Climate4(2): 25.

Kienzler, S., Kreibich, H., Müller, M., Pech, P. Thieken, A. H. (2016): Assessment of flood loss model transferability considering changes in precaution of flood-affected residents in Germany. E3S Web of Conferences 7, 13002.

Lobera, G., Batalla, R.J., Vericat, D., López-Tarazón, J.A., Tena, A. (2016): Sediment transport in two Mediterranean regulated rivers, Science of the Total Environment, 540:101-113.

López, P., López-Tarazón, J.A., Casas-Ruiz, J.P., Pompeo, M., Ordoñez, J., Muñoz, I: (2016): Sediment size distribution and composition in a reservoir affected by severe water level fluctuations, Science of the Total Environment, 540:158-167.

López-Tarazón, J.A., López, P., Lobera, G., Batalla, R.J. (2016): Suspended sediment, carbon and nitrogen transport in a regulated Pyrenean river, Science of the Total Environment, 540: 133-143.

Natho, S. (2016): Daten vom Fluss - Grenzen und Möglichkeiten einer Stickstoff- und Phosphorretentionsmodellierung in Auen auf Landschaftsebene in Nationalpark Unteres Odertal (Hrsg.): Daten vom Fluss: Wissenschaftliche Untersuchungen und aktuelle Anwendungsaspekte in Flussauen, Beiträge aus dem Nationalpark Unters Odertal, 1:47-52.

Rözer, V., M. Müller, P. Bubeck, S. Kienzler, A. Thieken, I. Pech, K. Schröter, O. Buchholz, H. Kreibich (2016): Coping with pluvial floods by private households. – Water 8(7): 304,

Schroeter, K., Luedtke, S., VOGEL, K., Kreibich, H., Merz, B.(2016): Tracing the value of data for flood loss modelling. In FLOODrisk 2016 - 3rd European Conference on Flood Risk Management.

Schwanghart, W., Bernhardt, A., Stolle, A., Hoelzmann, P., Adhikari, B.R., Andermann, C., Tofelde, S., Merchel, S., Rugel, G., Fort, M., Korup, O. (2016): Repeated catastrophic valley infill following medieval earthquakes in the Nepal Himalaya. Science, 351, 147-150 [DOI: 10.1126/science.aac9865].

Thieken, A. H., T. Bessel, S. Kienzler,H. Kreibich, M. Müller, S. Pisi and K. Schröter (2016): The flood of June 2013 in Germany: how much do we know about its impacts?. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 16: 1519-1540, doi:10.5194/nhess-16-1519-2016,

Thieken, A. H., S. Kienzler,H. Kreibich, Ch. Kuhlicke, M. Kunz, B. Mühr, M.Müller, A. Otto, Th. Petrow, S. Pisi and K. Schröter (2016): Review of the flood risk management system in Germany after the major flood in 2013. Ecology andSociety 21(2):51. doi:


Buth, M., Kahlenborn, W., Savelsberg, J., Becker, N., Bubeck, P., Kabisch, S., Kind, C. et al. (2015): Vulnerabilität Deutschlands gegenüber dem Klimawandel, Umweltbundesamt, Climate Change 24/2015, Dessau-Roßlau.

Kienzler, S., Falter, D., Jentsch, S., Thieken, A. H. (2015): Reduktion von Hochwasserschäden im Zusammenspiel von staatlicher und privater Vorsorge – eine Fallstudie an der Mulde. Korrespondenz Wasserwirtschaft 11: 680-687.

Kienzler, S., Pech, I., Kreibich, H., Müller, M., Thieken, A. H. (2015): After the extreme flood in 2002: changes in preparedness, response and recovery of flood-affected residents in Germany between 2005 and 2011. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 15: 505-526. 

Kreibich, H., Bubeck, P., van Vliet, M., de Moel, H. (2015): A review of damage-reducing measures to manage fluvial flood risks in a changing climate, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 20(6): 967-989.

Lobera, G., Besné, P., Vericat, D., López-Tarazón, J.A., Tena, A., Aristi, I., Díez, J.R., Ibisate,  A., Larrañaga, A., Elosegi, A., Batalla, R.J. (2015): Geomorphic status of regulated rivers in the Iberian Peninsula, Science of the Total Environment, 508: 101-114.

Philips, A., Walz, A., Bergner, A., Graeff, T., Heistermann, M., Kienzler, S., Korup, O., Lipp, T., Schwanghart, W., Zeilinger, G. (2015): Immersive 3D geovisualisation in higher education. Journal of Geography in Higher Education 39(3): 437-449.

Stolle, A., Langer, M., Blöthe, J.H.,Korup, O. (2015): On Predicting Debris Flows in Arid Mountain Belts. Global and Planetary Change 126, 1-13.


Book on climate change impacts: "Klimawandel in Deutschland: Entwicklung, Folgen, Risiken und Perspektiven"

November 3rd 2016

The new compendium „Klimawandel in Deutschland: Entwicklung, Folgen, Risiken und Perspektiven“, edited by Guy P. Brasseur, Daniela Jacob, and Susanne Schuck-Zöller was released. It gives a comprehensive overview about all aspects of climate change, its impact and adaptation measures in Germany. The interdisciplinary book was published at Springer Verlag.

Target audience of "Klimawandel in Deutschland" are professionals of all disciplines from politics, economy, science to adminisitration that are affected by climate change issues. It includes sound information about climate change and related aspects and reactions.

NatRiskChange members* contributed to the following chapters:

Kapitel 5: Grenzen und Herausforderungen der regionalen Klimamodellierung
Authors: Andreas Dobler, Hendrik Feldmann, Uwe Ulbrich*

Kapitel 10: Hochwasser und Sturzfluten an Flüssen in Deutschland
Authors: Axel Bronstert*, Helge Bormann, Gerd Bürger*, Uwe Haberlandt, Fred Hattermann,
Maik Heistermann, Shaochun Huang, Vassilis Kolokotronis, Zbigniew Kundzewicz, Lucas Menzel,
Günter Meon, Bruno Merz*, Andreas Meuser, Eva Nora Paton*, Theresia Petrow*

A press release by Climate Service Center Hamburg can be found here. The chapters are accessible via Open Access. There is also an eBook version available.