Agenda of the Second International Conference on Natural Hazards and Risks in a Changing World 2021

Tuesday, 5th October 2021

8:00-9:00 Registration      

9:00-9:10 Welcome speech and opening by Prof. Oliver Günther (president of the University of Potsdam, confirmed)

9:10-9:20 Welcome speech by Dr. Astrid Evers (Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft DFG, confirmed)

9:20 -10:05 Keynote speech: Disastrous river floods in a changing environment by Prof. Bruno Merz, German Research Centre for Geosciences GFZ, Germany (confirmed)

10:05-10:30 Coffee break

10:30-12:30 Parallel sessions: Session 1 and Session 2


Session 1: „Impact of land degradation, drought and wildfires on ecosystem services“ (Convener: PD Kirsten Thonicke, PIK Potsdam, Jennifer von Keyserlingk, University of Potsdam)

Session 2: „ Human contributions to climate risks “ (Convener: Dr. Philip Bubeck, Prof. Annegret Thieken, Lisa Berghäuser, all University of Potsdam)


Prof. Britta Tietjen, FU Berlin, Germany  (invited talk)

Restoring ecosystem functions and services in drylands: challenges and chances

Prof. David N. Bresch, ETH Zürich, Switzerland (invited talk)

An artefact of the future: Globally consistent open-source multi-hazard impact assessment


Suraj Das, IIT Rorkee, India

Climate Change, dietary shift, and traditional norms in the western Himalayan region

Samuel Juhel, CIRED, France

Global indirect impacts of extreme flood events

11:20-11:25Short break for ventilation

Prof. Andrew Hobbs, University of San Francisco, USA

Do Droughts Drive Deforestation? Evidence from Mozambique

PD Heidi Kreibich, German Research Centre for Geosciences GFZ, Germany

Monetary loss reduction due to flood early warning


Agata Keller, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Poland

Country-wide statistical modelling of flow variability impact on the riverine macroinvertebrates in Poland

Dr. Thomas Thaler, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria

Mapping the characteristics and conditions of path dependency: Re- and deconstructing the 1980-2020 flood risk management in the Aist and Enns river regions in Austria


Prof. Gunnar Lischeid, ZALF Müncheberg, Germany

Easy-to-use diagnostics of mean-term drought vulnerability

Tim Busker, Vrije Universiteit (VU) Amsterdam, The Netherlands

Forecast-based operation of blue-green roofs as a new solution to decrease the impact of extreme weather in cities


12:30-13:30   Lunch

13:30-14:15 Keynote speech: The Evidentiary Basis for Equitable Risk Reduction in an Era of Increasing Disaster Risk Inequality by Prof. Susann Cutter, University of South Carolina, USA (confirmed)

14:15-14:25 Short break

14:25-16:45 Parallel sessions Session 3 and Session 5 (coffee break in between)


Session 3: „Floods and storms“ (Convener: Prof. Axel Bronstert, University of Potsdam, Prof. Ankit Agarwal, IIT Rorkee)

Session 5: „Geomorphological events “ (Convener: Prof. Oliver Korup, PhD, University of Potsdam)


Prof. Paul H. Whitfield, Centre for Hydrology, University of Saskatchewan, Canada (invited talk)

Detecting changing flood generating mechanisms in long records from reference hydrological sites

Dr. Kristen L. Cook, German Research Centre for Geosciences GFZ, Germany (invited talk)

Detection, Observation, and Early Warning of Catastrophic Flow Events Using Regional Seismic Networks


Maureen Anyango Wanzala, University of Reading, UK

Trends in Seasonality and Flood Timings Over Kenya

Sophie Lagarde, German Research Centre for Geosciences GFZ, Germany

Insights on rockslide collapse mechanism from pre-event cracking

15:15-15:45Coffee break

Timothy Tiggeloven, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Nature-based solutions and global coastal flood risk estimates

Lisa Victoria Luna, University of Potsdam, Germany

Landslide inventories are incomplete. Can we still use them to make forecasts?


Henrike Lorenz, FU Berlin, Germany

Impacts of extreme wind speeds and other factors on vegetation disturbances in the German railway network

Prof. Edier Vicente Aristizába, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Colombia

Debris flows induced by Multiple Occurrence Regional Landslides Events in the Colombian Andes


Job C.M. Dullaart, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Accounting for tropical cyclones more than doubles the global population exposed to low-probability coastal flooding

Katrin Dohmen, TU Berlin, Germany

Defining criteria for the formation of landslide induced tsunamis in elongated and narrow water bodies

16:45-17:00 PICO Presentations of online posters of sessions 1, 2, 3

17:00-18:30 Poster session

19:00 Conference dinner


Wednesday, 6th October 2021

9:00-9:45 Keynote speech: The volcanic hazard of distributed volcanic fields - the example of the Eifel, Germany by Prof. Torsten Dahm, German Research Centre for Geosciences GFZ, Germany (confirmed)

9:45-9:55 Short break

9:55-11:50 Parallel sessions Session 4 and Session 6


Session 4: „Causes, impact and mitigations of earthquakes, tsunamis and volcanoes in an urban changing world“ (Convener: Prof. Fabrice Cotton, GFZ Potsdam)

Session 6: „Analysis of complex changing systems “ (Convener: Dr. Tobias Sieg and Dr. Ugur Örzürk, both University of Potsdam)


Dr. Helen Crowley, Eucentre, Italy (invited talk)

An Open European Seismic Risk Model (ESRM20)

Dr. Jakob Zscheischler, University of Bern, Switzerland (invited talk)

A typology of compound weather and climate events


Shubham Sharma, University of Potsdam, Germany

Testing physics and statics based hybrid ETAS models

Prof. Gabriele Messori, Uppsala University, Sweden

Wintertime Compound Climate Extremes in North America and Europe


10:45-11:15Coffee break

Dr. Mauro Cacace, German Research Centre for Geosciences GFZ, Germany

A novel physics-based and statistical forecast model for induced seismicity

Dr. Marleen C. de Ruiter, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, the Netherlands

Multi-hazard risk and the asynergies of disaster risk reduction measures: the need for an integrated approach


Dr. Cecilia Nievas,German Research Centre for Geosciences GFZ, Germany

The use of high-resolution building exposure models: earthquake damage scenario for the city of Cologne, Germany

Dr. Mariana Madruga de Brito, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Germany

Integrating network analysis and sequential pattern mining to assess drought compound and cascading impacts


Juan Camilo Gomez Zapata,German Research Centre for Geosciences GFZ, Germany

Scenario-based multi-risk assessment for consecutive earthquakes and tsunamis in Lima, Peru

Manon Glockmann, PIK Potsdam, Germany

Projections of global urban land cover growth

12:15-12:30 PICO Presentations of online posters of sessions 4, 5, and 6

12:30-13:30 Lunch

13:30-15:00 Poster session

15:00-15:45 Keynote speech: Leveraging satellite data to inform multi-scale landslide hazard assessment by Dr. Dalia Kirschbaum, Hydrological Sciences Laboratory at NASA, USA (confirmed)

15:45-16:30 Discussion and Goodbye